Marvin Bagley III
Player Intelligence Terminal

Marvin Bagley III

2025-26 • Regular Season Out
Dallas Mavericks • F • #35
Impact: 36.96 Tier: Fringe Risk: High Starter: No Starter Confidence: 0.0% Availability: 0.0% As-Of (UTC): 2026-04-30 15:00:52Z Market Snapshot (UTC): 2026-03-23 16:02:50Z
01
Role
Marvin Bagley III is currently projected outside the expected starting group.
02
Load
Marvin Bagley III is carrying 20.1 rolling minutes with 5.2% team minutes share.
03
Form
Points form is hot (L3: 14.3, L5: 15.6, L10: 12.2).
Team Context DAL Role: Unavailable
Volatility: 5.89 Minutes Share: 5.2% Usage Proxy: 5.48
Health & Availability

Injury Report

Availability signal, injury context, and rotation impact for projection interpretation.
Out
Availability: 0.0%
Availability confidence
Updated (UTC): 2026-04-30 15:01:02Z
Injury
Shoulder
Location: Arm
Return
2026-10-01
Source: ESPN
Estimated return (not confirmed)
Signal
Player expected to miss or be limited
Use as a minutes / role risk input.
Latest Update
Bagley (shoulder) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Bulls.
Bagley has started for Dallas in the last two games. However, he won't be available against the Bulls, marking the end of his season. With Daniel Gafford (rest) and P.J. Washington (elbow) also sidelined, Moussa Cisse (two-way) could remain in line for an expanded role.
Command Center

Performance Snapshot

Rolling production, efficiency, and current player load profile.
Fringe • High
Minutes
20.1
Rolling minutes average
Points
12.2
Rolling points average
PRA
19.4
Points + rebounds + assists
TS%
73.0%
True shooting efficiency
Rebounds
5.7
Rolling rebounds average
Assists
1.5
Rolling assists average
3PM
1.2
Rolling 3-pointers made
3P%
55.0%
3-point conversion rate
Role & Risk

Context Profile

Current role quality, risk profile, and availability-adjusted player state.
Impact
37.0
Final impact model output
Risk
High
Current risk classification
Role Trend
-2.8
Recent role trend minutes
Availability
0.0%
Current availability probability
Effective Avail
0.0%
Availability after model adjustment
Stability
70.6%
Rotation stability score
Context Note: Current availability label is 'Out' with probability 0.0%.
Directional Read

Trend Terminal

Recent game-by-game trend across minutes, box production, PRA, threes, and efficiency.
Metric Minutes
Current
Previous
Delta
Signal Balance

Context Chart

Blend of impact, availability, stability, minutes strength, and usage context.
Recent Form

Streak Intelligence

Last 3 / 5 / 10 view with directional streaks and form label by metric.
Metric L3 L5 L10 Up Down Form
Minutes 20.2 21.8 20.1 0 1 Stable
Points 14.3 15.6 12.2 0 2 Hot
Rebounds 6.0 6.2 5.7 0 2 Stable
Assists 1.3 1.4 1.5 0 1 Cooling
PRA 21.7 23.2 19.4 0 2 Hot
3PM 1.3 1.6 1.2 0 1 Hot
Terminal Notes

Insights

Condensed player intelligence generated from role, load, trend, and latest results.
Role
Marvin Bagley III is currently projected outside the expected starting group.
Load
Marvin Bagley III is carrying 20.1 rolling minutes with 5.2% team minutes share.
Form
Points form is hot (L3: 14.3, L5: 15.6, L10: 12.2).
Availability
Current availability status: Out (0%).
Latest Game
Most recent game @ SAS: 8.2 min, 2.0 pts, 1.0 reb, 1.0 ast.
Market Surface

Player Edges

Projection, recommendation strength, and recent hit context for supported player props.
vs GSW
Home game
Under Strong
Strong Under leaning Medium consistency A Grade
Under 7.5 Rebounds
1.89
Projection 6.1
Line 7.5
Edge +1.41
Score 1.410
Overall
Hit in 2 of last 5 games
40%
Home
Hit in 4 of last 4 home games
100%
Average
Avg REB: 6.2 vs line 7.5
-1.3
Over: — Under: 1.89
04/10 1.0
04/08 8.0
04/07 9.0
04/05 4.0
03/27 9.0
Recent Output

Game Log Intelligence

Most recent games with starter context, result signal, opponent identity, and core stat line.
Date Opponent Result Start Min PTS REB AST PRA 3PM TS%
2026-04-10
@ SAS
L Yes 8.2 2.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 25.0%
2026-04-08
@ PHX
L Yes 26.3 20.0 8.0 2.0 30.0 3.0 84.2%
2026-04-07
@ LAC
L No 26.1 21.0 9.0 1.0 31.0 1.0 82.3%
2026-04-05
vs LAL
W No 21.5 9.0 4.0 0.0 13.0 1.0 64.3%
2026-03-27
@ POR
W No 27.3 26.0 9.0 3.0 38.0 3.0 82.5%
2026-03-25
@ DEN
L No 17.4 7.0 3.0 3.0 13.0 0.0 39.4%
2026-03-23
vs GSW
L No 14.5 9.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 1.0 84.6%
2026-03-21
vs LAC
L No 24.6 17.0 7.0 1.0 25.0 2.0 91.2%
2026-03-18
vs ATL
L No 16.0 2.0 7.0 0.0 9.0 0.0 50.0%
2026-03-16
@ NOP
L No 18.8 9.0 9.0 1.0 19.0 1.0 64.3%