Luka Dončić
Player Intelligence Terminal

Luka Dončić

2025-26 • Regular Season Out
Los Angeles Lakers • F-G • #77
Impact: 73.62 Tier: Fringe Risk: High Starter: No Starter Confidence: 0.0% Availability: 0.0% As-Of (UTC): 2026-04-29 17:01:24Z Market Snapshot (UTC): 2026-04-02 16:49:20Z
01
Role
Luka Dončić is currently projected outside the expected starting group.
02
Load
Luka Dončić is carrying 37.1 rolling minutes with 10.4% team minutes share.
03
Form
Points form is cooling (L3: 31.7, L5: 34.0, L10: 36.9).
Team Context LAL Role: Unavailable
Volatility: 4.34 Minutes Share: 10.4% Usage Proxy: 0.00
Health & Availability

Injury Report

Availability signal, injury context, and rotation impact for projection interpretation.
Out
Availability: 0.0%
Availability confidence
Updated (UTC): 2026-04-29 17:01:32Z
Injury
Hamstring
Location: Leg
Return
2026-05-03
Source: ESPN
Estimated return (not confirmed)
Signal
Player expected to miss or be limited
Use as a minutes / role risk input.
Latest Update
Doncic (hamstring) would likely miss the beginning of the second round against the Thunder if the Lakers advance past Houston, ESPN's Shams Charania reports.
Charania notes that he remains on a slow path to a full recovery. Doncic has ramped up his workload a bit in recent days, but he hasn't been cleared to begin scrimmaging yet. Los Angeles' franchise player has been sidelined since the beginning of the month with a Grade 2 hamstring strain.
Command Center

Performance Snapshot

Rolling production, efficiency, and current player load profile.
Fringe • High
Minutes
37.1
Rolling minutes average
Points
36.9
Rolling points average
PRA
51.0
Points + rebounds + assists
TS%
61.0%
True shooting efficiency
Rebounds
6.8
Rolling rebounds average
Assists
7.3
Rolling assists average
3PM
4.6
Rolling 3-pointers made
3P%
36.0%
3-point conversion rate
Role & Risk

Context Profile

Current role quality, risk profile, and availability-adjusted player state.
Impact
73.6
Final impact model output
Risk
High
Current risk classification
Role Trend
+0.0
Recent role trend minutes
Availability
0.0%
Current availability probability
Effective Avail
0.0%
Availability after model adjustment
Stability
88.3%
Rotation stability score
Context Note: Current availability label is 'Out' with probability 0.0%.
Directional Read

Trend Terminal

Recent game-by-game trend across minutes, box production, PRA, threes, and efficiency.
Metric Minutes
Current
Previous
Delta
Signal Balance

Context Chart

Blend of impact, availability, stability, minutes strength, and usage context.
Recent Form

Streak Intelligence

Last 3 / 5 / 10 view with directional streaks and form label by metric.
Metric L3 L5 L10 Up Down Form
Minutes 32.8 34.9 37.1 0 2 Cooling
Points 31.7 34.0 36.9 0 1 Cooling
Rebounds 5.7 6.0 6.8 0 2 Cooling
Assists 7.3 7.0 7.3 0 1 Stable
PRA 44.7 47.0 51.0 0 1 Cooling
3PM 4.0 3.8 4.6 0 1 Cooling
Terminal Notes

Insights

Condensed player intelligence generated from role, load, trend, and latest results.
Role
Luka Dončić is currently projected outside the expected starting group.
Load
Luka Dončić is carrying 37.1 rolling minutes with 10.4% team minutes share.
Form
Points form is cooling (L3: 31.7, L5: 34.0, L10: 36.9).
Availability
Current availability status: Out (0%).
Latest Game
Most recent game @ OKC: 25.7 min, 12.0 pts, 4.0 reb, 7.0 ast.
Market Surface

Player Edges

Projection, recommendation strength, and recent hit context for supported player props.
@ OKC
Away game
Over Strong
Strong Over leaning Low consistency A Grade
Over 31.5 Points
1.83
Projection 36.9
Line 31.5
Edge +5.44
Score 5.440
Overall
Hit in 4 of last 5 games
80%
Away
Hit in 3 of last 4 away games
75%
Average
Avg PTS: 34.0 vs line 31.5
+2.5
Over: 1.83 Under: —
04/02 12.0
03/31 42.0
03/27 41.0
03/25 43.0
03/23 32.0
@ OKC
Away game
Over Strong
Lean Under leaning High consistency A Grade Model Conflict
Over 4.5 3PM
2.2
Projection 6.8
Line 4.5
Edge +2.25
Score 2.250
Overall
Hit in 2 of last 5 games
40%
Away
Hit in 0 of last 4 away games
0%
Average
Avg 3PM: 3.8 vs line 4.5
-0.7
Over: 2.2 Under: —
04/02 1.0
03/31 6.0
03/27 5.0
03/25 4.0
03/23 3.0
@ OKC
Away game
Over Strong
Lean Under leaning Low consistency A Grade Model Conflict
Over 47.5 PRA
1.95
Projection 49.7
Line 47.5
Edge +2.15
Score 2.150
Overall
Hit in 3 of last 5 games
60%
Away
Hit in 1 of last 4 away games
25%
Average
Avg PRA: 47.0 vs line 47.5
-0.5
Over: 1.95 Under: —
04/02 23.0
03/31 59.0
03/27 52.0
03/25 56.0
03/23 45.0
@ OKC
Away game
Under Strong
Lean Under leaning Medium consistency A Grade
Under 7.5 Assists
2
Projection 6.1
Line 7.5
Edge +1.39
Score 1.390
Overall
Hit in 4 of last 5 games
80%
Away
Hit in 3 of last 4 away games
75%
Average
Avg AST: 7.0 vs line 7.5
-0.5
Over: — Under: 2
04/02 7.0
03/31 12.0
03/27 3.0
03/25 7.0
03/23 6.0
Recent Output

Game Log Intelligence

Most recent games with starter context, result signal, opponent identity, and core stat line.
Date Opponent Result Start Min PTS REB AST PRA 3PM TS%
2026-04-02
@ OKC
L Yes 25.7 12.0 4.0 7.0 23.0 1.0 47.5%
2026-03-31
vs CLE
W Yes 34.0 42.0 5.0 12.0 59.0 6.0 69.1%
2026-03-27
vs BKN
W Yes 38.7 41.0 8.0 3.0 52.0 5.0 74.2%
2026-03-25
@ IND
W Yes 37.5 43.0 6.0 7.0 56.0 4.0 62.5%
2026-03-23
@ DET
L Yes 38.8 32.0 7.0 6.0 45.0 3.0 49.2%
2026-03-21
@ ORL
W Yes 38.2 33.0 5.0 8.0 46.0 3.0 48.6%
2026-03-19
@ MIA
W Yes 37.6 60.0 7.0 3.0 70.0 9.0 78.2%
2026-03-18
@ HOU
W Yes 37.7 40.0 9.0 10.0 59.0 7.0 64.2%
2026-03-16
@ HOU
W Yes 39.6 36.0 6.0 4.0 46.0 4.0 61.6%
2026-03-14
vs DEN
W Yes 43.0 30.0 11.0 13.0 54.0 4.0 50.1%