Aaron Nesmith
Player Intelligence Terminal

Aaron Nesmith

2025-26 • Regular Season Out
Indiana Pacers • G-F • #23
Impact: 44.17 Tier: Fringe Risk: High Starter: No Starter Confidence: 20.0% Availability: 100.0% As-Of (UTC): 2026-04-29 17:01:24Z Market Snapshot (UTC): 2026-03-27 18:05:45Z
01
Role
Aaron Nesmith is currently projected outside the expected starting group.
02
Load
Aaron Nesmith is carrying 30.1 rolling minutes with 7.6% team minutes share.
03
Form
Points form is hot (L3: 19.7, L5: 15.8, L10: 17.5).
Back to Team Back to All Teams
Team Context IND Role: Unavailable
Volatility: 4.52 Minutes Share: 7.6% Usage Proxy: 0.00
Health & Availability

Injury Report

Availability signal, injury context, and rotation impact for projection interpretation.
Out
Availability: 100.0%
Availability confidence
Updated (UTC): 2026-04-29 17:01:32Z
Injury
Neck
Location: Head
Return
2026-10-01
Source: ESPN
Estimated return (not confirmed)
Signal
Full participation expected
Use as a minutes / role risk input.
Latest Update
Nesmith (neck) won't play Sunday against the Pistons.
Ethan Thompson should get another start Sunday with Nesmith unavailable. Kam Jones and Taelon Peters should also see some extended minutes sans Nesmith.
Rotation Impact Detected
This panel is derived from the latest synced injury status and ESPN feed narrative for player control interpretation.
Command Center

Performance Snapshot

Rolling production, efficiency, and current player load profile.
Fringe • High
Minutes
30.1
Rolling minutes average
Points
17.5
Rolling points average
PRA
21.6
Points + rebounds + assists
TS%
67.0%
True shooting efficiency
Rebounds
2.7
Rolling rebounds average
Assists
1.4
Rolling assists average
3PM
2.8
Rolling 3-pointers made
3P%
47.0%
3-point conversion rate
Role & Risk

Context Profile

Current role quality, risk profile, and availability-adjusted player state.
Impact
44.2
Final impact model output
Risk
High
Current risk classification
Role Trend
+0.0
Recent role trend minutes
Availability
100.0%
Current availability probability
Effective Avail
0.0%
Availability after model adjustment
Stability
85.0%
Rotation stability score
Context Note: Current availability label is 'Out' with probability 100.0%.
Directional Read

Trend Terminal

Recent game-by-game trend across minutes, box production, PRA, threes, and efficiency.
Metric Minutes
Current —
Previous —
Delta —
Signal Balance

Context Chart

Blend of impact, availability, stability, minutes strength, and usage context.
Recent Form

Streak Intelligence

Last 3 / 5 / 10 view with directional streaks and form label by metric.
Metric L3 L5 L10 Up Down Form
Minutes 34.3 30.8 30.1 1 0 Hot
Points 19.7 15.8 17.5 1 0 Hot
Rebounds 4.0 3.4 2.7 2 0 Hot
Assists 1.7 1.2 1.4 1 0 Hot
PRA 25.3 20.4 21.6 1 0 Hot
3PM 3.7 2.6 2.8 1 0 Hot
Terminal Notes

Insights

Condensed player intelligence generated from role, load, trend, and latest results.
Role
Aaron Nesmith is currently projected outside the expected starting group.
Load
Aaron Nesmith is carrying 30.1 rolling minutes with 7.6% team minutes share.
Form
Points form is hot (L3: 19.7, L5: 15.8, L10: 17.5).
Availability
Current availability status: Out (100%).
Latest Game
Most recent game vs LAC: 35.4 min, 26.0 pts, 7.0 reb, 2.0 ast.
Market Surface

Player Edges

Projection, recommendation strength, and recent hit context for supported player props.
vs LAC
Home game
Over Strong
Strong Over leaning • Low consistency • A Grade
Over 12.5 Points
1.89
Projection 21.4
Line 12.5
Edge +8.90
Score 8.900
Overall
Hit in 4 of last 5 games
80%
Home
Hit in 3 of last 4 home games
75%
Average
Avg PTS: 15.8 vs line 12.5
+3.3
Over: 1.89 Under: —
03/27 26.0
03/25 14.0
03/23 19.0
03/21 5.0
03/18 15.0
vs LAC
Home game
Over Strong
Strong Over leaning • Low consistency • A Grade
Over 18.5 PRA
1.95
Projection 25.7
Line 18.5
Edge +7.19
Score 7.190
Overall
Hit in 3 of last 5 games
60%
Home
Hit in 2 of last 4 home games
50%
Average
Avg PRA: 20.4 vs line 18.5
+1.9
Over: 1.95 Under: —
03/27 35.0
03/25 18.0
03/23 23.0
03/21 7.0
03/18 19.0
vs LAC
Home game
Over Strong
Strong Over leaning • High consistency • A Grade
Over 1.5 3PM
1.55
Projection 4.7
Line 1.5
Edge +3.15
Score 3.150
Overall
Hit in 3 of last 5 games
60%
Home
Hit in 2 of last 4 home games
50%
Average
Avg 3PM: 2.6 vs line 1.5
+1.1
Over: 1.55 Under: —
03/27 4.0
03/25 2.0
03/23 5.0
03/21 1.0
03/18 1.0
Recent Output

Game Log Intelligence

Most recent games with starter context, result signal, opponent identity, and core stat line.
Date Opponent Result Start Min PTS REB AST PRA 3PM TS%
2026-03-27
vs LAC
L Yes 35.4 26.0 7.0 2.0 35.0 4.0 87.4%
2026-03-25
vs LAL
L Yes 32.1 14.0 3.0 1.0 18.0 2.0 50.4%
2026-03-23
@ ORL
W Yes 35.4 19.0 2.0 2.0 23.0 5.0 80.0%
2026-03-21
@ SAS
L Yes 24.8 5.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 1.0 35.7%
2026-03-18
vs POR
L Yes 26.3 15.0 3.0 1.0 19.0 1.0 54.0%
2026-03-17
@ NYK
L Yes 24.3 14.0 1.0 0.0 15.0 4.0 87.5%
2026-03-15
@ MIL
L Yes 28.8 32.0 2.0 1.0 35.0 7.0 98.8%
2026-03-13
vs NYK
L Yes 34.4 12.0 2.0 2.0 16.0 1.0 44.6%
2026-03-10
@ SAC
L Yes 34.6 29.0 4.0 3.0 36.0 2.0 57.8%
2026-03-08
@ POR
L Yes 24.7 9.0 1.0 2.0 12.0 1.0 75.0%