Nikola Jokić
Player Intelligence Terminal

Nikola Jokić

2025-26 • Regular Season
Denver Nuggets • C • #15
Impact: 83.89 Tier: Core Risk: Low Starter: Yes Starter Confidence: 100.0% Availability: 100.0% As-Of (UTC): 2026-04-30 15:00:52Z Market Snapshot (UTC): 2026-04-27 16:01:22Z
01
Role
Nikola Jokić projects as an expected starter with confidence 1.00.
02
Load
Nikola Jokić is carrying 36.3 rolling minutes with 10.6% team minutes share.
03
Form
Points form is stable (L3: 26.0, L5: 25.4, L10: 25.4).
Team Context DEN Role: ExpectedStarter
Volatility: 7.22 Minutes Share: 10.6% Usage Proxy: 9.16
Command Center

Performance Snapshot

Rolling production, efficiency, and current player load profile.
Core • Low
Minutes
36.3
Rolling minutes average
Points
25.4
Rolling points average
PRA
48.3
Points + rebounds + assists
TS%
57.0%
True shooting efficiency
Rebounds
13.3
Rolling rebounds average
Assists
9.6
Rolling assists average
3PM
0.9
Rolling 3-pointers made
3P%
20.0%
3-point conversion rate
Role & Risk

Context Profile

Current role quality, risk profile, and availability-adjusted player state.
Impact
83.9
Final impact model output
Risk
Low
Current risk classification
Role Trend
+1.4
Recent role trend minutes
Availability
100.0%
Current availability probability
Effective Avail
100.0%
Availability after model adjustment
Stability
80.1%
Rotation stability score
Context Note: No active injury label detected in the current player context.
Directional Read

Trend Terminal

Recent game-by-game trend across minutes, box production, PRA, threes, and efficiency.
Metric Minutes
Current
Previous
Delta
Signal Balance

Context Chart

Blend of impact, availability, stability, minutes strength, and usage context.
Recent Form

Streak Intelligence

Last 3 / 5 / 10 view with directional streaks and form label by metric.
Metric L3 L5 L10 Up Down Form
Minutes 37.8 38.7 36.3 0 1 Stable
Points 26.0 25.4 25.4 1 0 Stable
Rebounds 14.0 14.0 13.3 0 1 Stable
Assists 9.3 9.4 9.6 2 0 Stable
PRA 49.3 48.8 48.3 2 0 Stable
3PM 1.0 1.2 0.9 1 0 Hot
Terminal Notes

Insights

Condensed player intelligence generated from role, load, trend, and latest results.
Role
Nikola Jokić projects as an expected starter with confidence 1.00.
Load
Nikola Jokić is carrying 36.3 rolling minutes with 10.6% team minutes share.
Form
Points form is stable (L3: 26.0, L5: 25.4, L10: 25.4).
Latest Game
Most recent game vs MIN: 37.5 min, 27.0 pts, 12.0 reb, 16.0 ast.
Market Surface

Player Edges

Projection, recommendation strength, and recent hit context for supported player props.
vs MIN
Home game
Under Strong
Strong Under leaning Medium consistency A Grade
Under 54.5 PRA
1.89
Projection 48.2
Line 54.5
Edge +6.26
Score 6.260
Overall
Hit in 4 of last 5 games
80%
Home
Hit in 3 of last 4 home games
75%
Average
Avg PRA: 48.8 vs line 54.5
-5.7
Over: — Under: 1.89
04/27 55.0
04/25 48.0
04/23 45.0
04/20 47.0
04/18 49.0
vs MIN
Home game
Under Strong
Strong Under leaning High consistency A Grade
Under 30.5 Points
1.86
Projection 26.2
Line 30.5
Edge +4.33
Score 4.330
Overall
Hit in 5 of last 5 games
100%
Home
Hit in 4 of last 4 home games
100%
Average
Avg PTS: 25.4 vs line 30.5
-5.1
Over: — Under: 1.86
04/27 27.0
04/25 24.0
04/23 27.0
04/20 24.0
04/18 25.0
vs MIN
Home game
Under Strong
Lean Under leaning High consistency C Grade
Under 14.5 Rebounds
1.8
Projection 13.4
Line 14.5
Edge +1.10
Score 1.100
Overall
Hit in 2 of last 5 games
40%
Home
Hit in 2 of last 4 home games
50%
Average
Avg REB: 14.0 vs line 14.5
-0.5
Over: — Under: 1.8
04/27 12.0
04/25 15.0
04/23 15.0
04/20 15.0
04/18 13.0
vs MIN
Home game
Over Strong
Neutral leaning High consistency C Grade Model Conflict
Over 1.5 3PM
1.62
Projection 2.4
Line 1.5
Edge +0.88
Score 0.880
Overall
Hit in 2 of last 5 games
40%
Home
Hit in 1 of last 4 home games
25%
Average
Avg 3PM: 1.2 vs line 1.5
-0.3
Over: 1.62 Under: —
04/27 1.0
04/25 0.0
04/23 2.0
04/20 1.0
04/18 2.0
Recent Output

Game Log Intelligence

Most recent games with starter context, result signal, opponent identity, and core stat line.
Date Opponent Result Start Min PTS REB AST PRA 3PM TS%
2026-04-27
vs MIN
W Yes 37.5 27.0 12.0 16.0 55.0 1.0 69.6%
2026-04-25
@ MIN
L Yes 40.6 24.0 15.0 9.0 48.0 0.0 47.0%
2026-04-23
@ MIN
L Yes 35.2 27.0 15.0 3.0 45.0 2.0 43.8%
2026-04-20
vs MIN
L Yes 40.3 24.0 15.0 8.0 47.0 1.0 52.0%
2026-04-18
vs MIN
W Yes 40.1 25.0 13.0 11.0 49.0 2.0 64.3%
2026-04-12
@ SAS
W Yes 18.3 23.0 8.0 1.0 32.0 1.0 74.1%
2026-04-08
vs MEM
W Yes 31.0 14.0 16.0 10.0 40.0 0.0 68.6%
2026-04-06
vs POR
W Yes 43.2 35.0 14.0 13.0 62.0 1.0 53.4%
2026-04-04
vs SAS
W Yes 44.0 40.0 8.0 13.0 61.0 1.0 63.3%
2026-04-01
@ UTA
W Yes 33.1 15.0 17.0 12.0 44.0 0.0 57.3%