01
Neutral net profile with mixed signals across offense and defense.
Miami
Team Intelligence Terminal
Miami Heat
NetRtg -0.3 • #17 High volatility team
Rotation impact, structural strength, trend direction, and snapshot-level team intelligence.
State Score
52.8
Signals are mixed and rotation confidence is not fully stable.
Team profile is mostly neutral.
Availability pressure is elevated and impacting role certainty.
Offense is improving while defense remains stable or better.
02
Offense is operating in the league’s upper tier.
03
Rotation usage is relatively stable across the latest snapshot window.
Playoff Context
Team Playoff Outlook
Persisted simulation outlook for playoff qualification, seed range, urgency, and workload-management risk.
Play-In Clinched
Rank: #10 East
Record: 41-38
Remaining: 2
This team is living in the play-in band. Volatility and urgency both matter because every result can materially shift the path forward.
Playoff Odds
100%
Top 6 Odds
0%
Play-In Odds
100%
Expected Seed
#10.0
Most likely: #10
Seed Range
Best #8 • Worst #10
Expected seed 10.0
• Most likely #10
Urgency
23%
Competitive pressure to win now.
Rest Risk
48%
Probability of softer availability management.
Minutes Cap Risk
51%
Active-but-managed workload suppression risk.
Rotation Volatility
22%
Likelihood of unstable role and minutes distribution.
Playoff pressure is active, but the strongest read comes from how urgency interacts with workload-management risk.
Recent Games
Recent games are winning less often against the spread, while totals are skewing Over.
Date
Opponent
W/L
Score
Margin
Spread
ATS
ATS Δ
Total
O/U
O/U Δ
Apr 14
@
Hornets
L
126 - 127
-1
+6.0
Cover
+5.0
229.5
Over
+23.5
Apr 12
vs
Hawks
W
143 - 117
+26
—
—
—
—
—
—
Apr 10
@
Wizards
W
140 - 117
+23
—
—
—
—
—
—
Apr 09
@
Raptors
L
114 - 128
-14
+3.5
No Cover
-10.5
236.5
Over
+5.5
Apr 07
@
Raptors
L
95 - 121
-26
+1.5
No Cover
-24.5
240.5
Under
-24.5
Apr 04
vs
Wizards
W
152 - 136
+16
-18.0
No Cover
-2.0
247.5
Over
+40.5
Apr 01
vs
Celtics
L
129 - 147
-18
+5.0
No Cover
-13.0
228.5
Over
+47.5
Mar 30
vs
76ers
W
119 - 109
+10
+2.0
Cover
+12.0
246.5
Under
-18.5
Mar 29
@
Pacers
L
118 - 135
-17
-8.5
No Cover
-25.5
245.5
Over
+7.5
Mar 27
@
Cavaliers
L
128 - 149
-21
+5.5
No Cover
-15.5
242.0
Over
+35.0
Health & Rotation
Team Availability Surface
Impact-weighted injury pressure, key absences, and rotation stability for current team interpretation.
Rotation pressure elevated
Impact At Risk: 110.0
Moderate impact loss detected — rotation stable but production is meaningfully affected.
Out
3
Unavailable contributors right now.
Doubtful
0
High-risk statuses likely to impact rotation.
Questionable
0
Watch-list players with near-term volatility.
Starter Out
0
Expected starters currently unavailable.
Core Out
0
Core structural losses inside the current team shape.
Pressure
Rotation pressure elevated
Summary read of current rotation stress.
Key Absences
Impact
49.4
Impact
47.9
Impact
12.7
Watch List
No current questionable watch-list players in this snapshot.
Team Availability Surface is derived from current player-level injury/availability flags and impact-weighted role context already used by the team query.
Strength Surface
Team Strength
Latest advanced team profile with league rank and snapshot-to-snapshot movement.
OffRtg
#4
123.6
+4.2
Points scored per 100 possessions.
DefRtg
#28
123.8
-2.7
Points allowed per 100 possessions.
Pace
#9
101.9
-0.4
Possessions per 48 minutes.
NetRtg
#17
-0.3
+6.8
Offense minus defense; higher is better.
Deltas compare the current pull against the previous pull for the same rolling window. Defensive rating uses inverted good/bad tone logic.
Rotation Intelligence
Rotation Structure
Core shape of the current player hierarchy with movement signals from the latest rolling snapshot.
Core
4
Expected primary drivers
Rotation
1
Stable active contributors
Bench
4
Playable secondary unit
Fringe
9
Low-impact or limited depth
Structure is trending positively relative to the previous team snapshot.
Directional Read
Trend Terminal
Rolling team trajectory across offense, defense, pace, and overall net profile.
Snapshot Delta
What Changed
Direct comparison between the latest team snapshot and the previous one in the same rolling window.
NetRtg
+6.8
OffRtg
+4.2
DefRtg
-2.7
Pace
-0.4
Rotation Intelligence
Top Players by Impact
Ranked by starter expectation, confidence, minutes load, share concentration, and availability-adjusted impact.
Top 12
As of (UTC): 2026-04-29 17:01:24
Top Core
4
Expected primary drivers of team shape.
Secondary Unit
4
Bench players with rotational impact.
Availability Watch
3
Players carrying current status flags.
| Player | Tier | Impact | Risk | Min Share | Min | PTS | REB | AST | TS% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Core |
59.98
Active
|
Low | 10.20% | 32.12 | 13.10 | 2.90 | 5.70 | 62.0% | 38.0% |
|
2
|
Core |
58.36
Active
|
Low | 9.40% | 29.62 | 14.60 | 3.90 | 2.30 | 64.0% | 52.0% |
|
3
|
Core |
56.45
Active
|
Low | 9.54% | 30.04 | 14.00 | 4.30 | 3.50 | 62.0% | 25.0% |
|
4
|
Rotation |
53.46
Active
|
Low | 9.32% | 29.35 | 18.50 | 4.80 | 4.40 | 62.0% | 40.0% |
|
5
|
Fringe |
49.39
Active
|
High | 10.18% | 32.07 | 17.70 | 10.70 | 4.40 | 58.0% | 32.0% |
|
6
|
Fringe |
47.89
Active
|
High | 10.20% | 32.13 | 18.30 | 4.20 | 4.90 | 59.0% | 38.0% |
|
7
|
Core |
46.99
Active
|
Low | 6.95% | 21.90 | 10.80 | 8.40 | 1.80 | 64.0% | 48.0% |
|
8
|
Bench |
46.46
Active
|
Low | 8.44% | 26.60 | 16.90 | 2.70 | 1.80 | 58.0% | 32.0% |
|
9
|
Bench |
29.29
Watch
|
Low | 5.74% | 18.09 | 6.70 | 2.30 | 3.30 | 67.0% | 43.0% |
|
10
|
Bench |
24.51
Risk
|
Low | 4.53% | 14.28 | 8.10 | 2.20 | 1.30 | 74.0% | 51.0% |
|
11
|
Bench |
18.45
Risk
|
Low | 3.75% | 11.81 | 6.50 | 2.20 | 0.60 | 66.0% | 25.0% |
|
12
|
Fringe |
12.73
Risk
|
High | 4.24% | 13.36 | 4.00 | 2.10 | 2.20 | 51.0% | 10.0% |
Impact Score blends starter expectation, confidence, minutes load, share concentration, stability, and availability-adjusted risk.