01
Positive net profile with above-average structural strength.
San
Team Intelligence Terminal
San Antonio Spurs
NetRtg +13.2 • #2 Competitive but volatile
Rotation impact, structural strength, trend direction, and snapshot-level team intelligence.
State Score
72.6
Underlying quality is solid, but recent movement or availability creates uncertainty.
Team is operating with elite positive net strength.
Availability posture is stable.
Trend is deteriorating and needs attention.
02
Offense is operating in the league’s upper tier.
03
Minutes distribution is shifting inside the current rotation.
Playoff Context
Team Playoff Outlook
Persisted simulation outlook for playoff qualification, seed range, urgency, and workload-management risk.
Seed Locked
Rank: #2 West
Record: 60-19
Remaining: 2
Postseason status is secure and the seed is effectively locked. Motivation pressure is softer, while rest and minutes-cap risk become more important.
Playoff Odds
100%
Top 6 Odds
100%
Play-In Odds
0%
Expected Seed
#2.0
Most likely: #2
Seed Range
Best #2 • Worst #2
Expected seed 2.0
• Most likely #2
Urgency
8%
Competitive pressure to win now.
Rest Risk
77%
Probability of softer availability management.
Minutes Cap Risk
75%
Active-but-managed workload suppression risk.
Rotation Volatility
27%
Likelihood of unstable role and minutes distribution.
Low pressure plus elevated workload-management risk suggests softer late-season motivation despite elite team quality.
Recent Games
Recent form is outperforming market expectations, with a positive ATS profile.
Date
Opponent
W/L
Score
Margin
Spread
ATS
ATS Δ
Total
O/U
O/U Δ
Apr 28
vs
Trail Blazers
W
114 - 95
+19
-12.0
Cover
+7.0
216.5
Under
-7.5
Apr 26
@
Trail Blazers
W
114 - 93
+21
-5.5
Cover
+15.5
219.0
Under
-12.0
Apr 24
@
Trail Blazers
W
120 - 108
+12
-2.5
Cover
+9.5
219.5
Over
+8.5
Apr 21
vs
Trail Blazers
L
103 - 106
-3
-11.5
No Cover
-14.5
220.5
Under
-11.5
Apr 19
vs
Trail Blazers
W
111 - 98
+13
-11.5
Cover
+1.5
222.5
Under
-13.5
Apr 12
vs
Nuggets
L
118 - 128
-10
—
—
—
—
—
—
Apr 10
vs
Mavericks
W
139 - 120
+19
—
—
—
—
—
—
Apr 08
vs
Trail Blazers
W
112 - 101
+11
-3.5
Cover
+7.5
229.0
Under
-16.0
Apr 06
vs
76ers
W
115 - 102
+13
-8.5
Cover
+4.5
237.0
Under
-20.0
Apr 04
@
Nuggets
L
134 - 136
-2
-1.5
No Cover
-3.5
243.0
Over
+27.0
Strength Surface
Team Strength
Latest advanced team profile with league rank and snapshot-to-snapshot movement.
OffRtg
#5
123.1
-0.8
Points scored per 100 possessions.
DefRtg
#4
109.9
+2.4
Points allowed per 100 possessions.
Pace
#15
99.7
-0.5
Possessions per 48 minutes.
NetRtg
#2
13.2
-3.2
Offense minus defense; higher is better.
Deltas compare the current pull against the previous pull for the same rolling window. Defensive rating uses inverted good/bad tone logic.
Rotation Intelligence
Rotation Structure
Core shape of the current player hierarchy with movement signals from the latest rolling snapshot.
Core
5
Expected primary drivers
Rotation
0
Stable active contributors
Bench
5
Playable secondary unit
Fringe
8
Low-impact or limited depth
Structure has softened relative to the previous team snapshot.
Minutes Risers
Victor Wembanyama
+0.7
Devin Vassell
+0.5
De'Aaron Fox
+0.5
Minutes Droppers
Jordan McLaughlin
-0.9
Carter Bryant
-0.9
Keldon Johnson
-0.9
Directional Read
Trend Terminal
Rolling team trajectory across offense, defense, pace, and overall net profile.
Snapshot Delta
What Changed
Direct comparison between the latest team snapshot and the previous one in the same rolling window.
NetRtg
-3.2
OffRtg
-0.8
DefRtg
+2.4
Pace
-0.5
Rotation Intelligence
Top Players by Impact
Ranked by starter expectation, confidence, minutes load, share concentration, and availability-adjusted impact.
Top 12
As of (UTC): 2026-04-29 17:01:24
Top Core
5
Expected primary drivers of team shape.
Secondary Unit
5
Bench players with rotational impact.
Availability Watch
0
Players carrying current status flags.
| Player | Tier | Impact | Risk | Min Share | Min | PTS | REB | AST | TS% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Core |
75.91
Strong
|
Low | 9.56% | 28.40 | 28.00 | 12.00 | 3.40 | 69.0% | 39.0% |
|
2
|
Core |
70.04
Strong
|
Low | 11.42% | 33.91 | 19.50 | 3.60 | 6.40 | 55.0% | 32.0% |
|
3
|
Core |
69.72
Strong
|
Low | 11.12% | 33.03 | 18.30 | 5.70 | 7.70 | 57.0% | 42.0% |
|
4
|
Core |
58.87
Active
|
Low | 11.11% | 33.01 | 12.80 | 5.20 | 2.30 | 51.0% | 31.0% |
|
5
|
Core |
51.58
Active
|
Low | 9.46% | 28.11 | 9.90 | 5.40 | 1.50 | 69.0% | 50.0% |
|
6
|
Bench |
42.10
Active
|
Low | 8.48% | 25.18 | 12.70 | 3.80 | 2.70 | 63.0% | 55.0% |
|
7
|
Bench |
35.26
Watch
|
Low | 7.11% | 21.12 | 10.90 | 5.30 | 1.20 | 50.0% | 26.0% |
|
8
|
Bench |
32.21
Watch
|
Low | 6.82% | 20.25 | 7.10 | 6.10 | 2.20 | 68.0% | 100.0% |
|
9
|
Bench |
22.50
Risk
|
Low | 5.74% | 17.04 | 5.70 | 1.10 | 0.60 | 60.0% | 27.0% |
|
10
|
Bench |
21.70
Risk
|
Low | 4.86% | 14.44 | 6.30 | 2.90 | 1.90 | 72.0% | 52.0% |
|
11
|
Fringe |
9.23
Risk
|
Low | 1.48% | 4.39 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
|
12
|
Fringe |
8.65
Risk
|
Low | 2.33% | 6.93 | 0.71 | 1.86 | 0.57 | 87.0% | 0.0% |
Impact Score blends starter expectation, confidence, minutes load, share concentration, stability, and availability-adjusted risk.