Washington
Team Intelligence Terminal

Washington Wizards

NetRtg -17.4 • #29 Under pressure
Rotation impact, structural strength, trend direction, and snapshot-level team intelligence.
Season: 2025-26 • Regular Season Window: Last 10 Players As-Of (UTC): 2026-04-29 17:01:24Z Team Stats Pulled (UTC): 2026-04-14 15:00:35Z
State Score
30.0
Team structure, availability, or trend profile is materially stressed.
Team structure is materially negative right now.
Availability pressure is elevated and impacting role certainty.
Both offense and defense are trending in the wrong direction.
01
Negative net profile; team structure is currently under pressure.
02
No single elite unit is separating this team right now.
03
Rotation usage is relatively stable across the latest snapshot window.
Rolling Window
Playoff Context

Team Playoff Outlook

Persisted simulation outlook for playoff qualification, seed range, urgency, and workload-management risk.

Eliminated Rank: #15 East Record: 17-61 Remaining: 2
This team is out of the playoff race. Development, minutes management, and rotation volatility matter more than seeding pressure.
Playoff Odds
0%
Top 6 Odds
0%
Play-In Odds
0%
Expected Seed
#14.7
Most likely: —
Seed Range
Best #14 • Worst #15
Expected seed 14.7
Urgency 12%
Competitive pressure to win now.
Rest Risk 15%
Probability of softer availability management.
Minutes Cap Risk 62%
Active-but-managed workload suppression risk.
Rotation Volatility 68%
Likelihood of unstable role and minutes distribution.
Rotation volatility is elevated, so role certainty and secondary-player trust should be treated more cautiously.
Recent Games
0 - 10 SU 2 - 6 ATS 4 - 4 O/U
Recent market performance is soft, with the team underperforming against the spread.
Date
Opponent
W/L
Score
Margin
Spread
ATS
ATS Δ
Total
O/U
O/U Δ
Apr 12
@ Cavaliers
L
117 - 130
-13
Apr 10
vs Heat
L
117 - 140
-23
Apr 09
vs Bulls
L
108 - 119
-11
+6.5
No Cover
-4.5
248.5
Under
-21.5
Apr 07
vs Bulls
L
98 - 129
-31
+6.0
No Cover
-25.0
250.0
Under
-23.0
Apr 05
@ Nets
L
115 - 121
-6
+3.5
No Cover
-2.5
230.5
Over
+5.5
Apr 04
@ Heat
L
136 - 152
-16
+18.0
Cover
+2.0
247.5
Over
+40.5
Apr 01
vs 76ers
L
131 - 153
-22
+13.5
No Cover
-8.5
240.5
Over
+43.5
Mar 30
@ Angeles Lakers
L
101 - 120
-19
+16.0
No Cover
-3.0
235.5
Under
-14.5
Mar 29
@ Trail Blazers
L
88 - 123
-35
+16.0
No Cover
-19.0
237.5
Under
-26.5
Mar 27
@ State Warriors
L
126 - 131
-5
+14.0
Cover
+9.0
232.5
Over
+24.5
Health & Rotation

Team Availability Surface

Impact-weighted injury pressure, key absences, and rotation stability for current team interpretation.

Rotation pressure elevated Impact At Risk: 108.5
Moderate impact loss detected — rotation stable but production is meaningfully affected.
Out
3
Unavailable contributors right now.
Doubtful
0
High-risk statuses likely to impact rotation.
Questionable
0
Watch-list players with near-term volatility.
Starter Out
0
Expected starters currently unavailable.
Core Out
0
Core structural losses inside the current team shape.
Pressure
Rotation pressure elevated
Summary read of current rotation stress.
Key Absences
Bilal Coulibaly
Bilal Coulibaly
High Impact Out Avail: 0.0%
Impact 40.3
Trae Young
Trae Young
High Impact Out Avail: 0.0%
Impact 36.9
Alex Sarr
Alex Sarr
High Impact Out Avail: 0.0%
Impact 31.3
Watch List
No current questionable watch-list players in this snapshot.
Team Availability Surface is derived from current player-level injury/availability flags and impact-weighted role context already used by the team query.
Strength Surface

Team Strength

Latest advanced team profile with league rank and snapshot-to-snapshot movement.

Per 100 possessions • Latest batch
OffRtg #26
109.5
-1.5
Points scored per 100 possessions.
DefRtg #29
127.0
+0.3
Points allowed per 100 possessions.
Pace #5
103.8
-0.1
Possessions per 48 minutes.
NetRtg #29
-17.4
-1.7
Offense minus defense; higher is better.
Deltas compare the current pull against the previous pull for the same rolling window. Defensive rating uses inverted good/bad tone logic.
Rotation Intelligence

Rotation Structure

Core shape of the current player hierarchy with movement signals from the latest rolling snapshot.

Impact model
Core
5
Expected primary drivers
Rotation
1
Stable active contributors
Bench
3
Playable secondary unit
Fringe
9
Low-impact or limited depth
Structure has softened relative to the previous team snapshot.
Directional Read

Trend Terminal

Rolling team trajectory across offense, defense, pace, and overall net profile.

Active Metric NetRtg
Current
Previous
Delta
Snapshot Delta

What Changed

Direct comparison between the latest team snapshot and the previous one in the same rolling window.

NetRtg -1.7
OffRtg -1.5
DefRtg +0.3
Pace -0.1
Latest: 2026-04-14 15:00:35Z
Previous: 2026-04-09 22:12:41Z
Rotation Intelligence

Top Players by Impact

Ranked by starter expectation, confidence, minutes load, share concentration, and availability-adjusted impact.

Top 12 As of (UTC): 2026-04-29 17:01:24
Top Core
5
Expected primary drivers of team shape.
Secondary Unit
3
Bench players with rotational impact.
Availability Watch
3
Players carrying current status flags.
Player Tier Impact Risk Min Share Min PTS REB AST TS% 3P%
1
Will Riley
Will Riley
ID: 1642860
Core
63.60 Strong
Low 7.57% 32.56 18.20 4.10 3.30 55.0% 26.0%
2
Bub Carrington
Bub Carrington
ID: 1642267
Core
58.42 Active
Low 6.49% 27.91 14.50 1.90 5.50 59.0% 49.0%
3
Julian Reese
Julian Reese
ID: 1642882
Core
56.20 Active
Low 7.04% 30.28 12.50 10.50 1.90 53.0% 0.0%
4
Anthony Gill
Anthony Gill
ID: 1630264
Core
54.73 Active
Low 7.17% 30.83 12.30 3.80 2.00 76.0% 54.0%
5
Leaky Black
Leaky Black
ID: 1641778
Core
42.16 Active
Low 6.37% 27.37 5.60 4.80 1.50 43.0% 31.0%
6
Bilal Coulibaly
Bilal Coulibaly
ID: 1641731 Out Avail: 0.0%
Fringe
40.30 Active
High 5.77% 24.80 15.90 4.30 2.50 57.0% 40.0%
7
Justin Champagnie
Justin Champagnie
ID: 1630551
Bench
40.22 Active
Low 5.57% 23.93 11.30 5.70 1.80 56.0% 31.0%
8
Jamir Watkins
Jamir Watkins
ID: 1642364
Rotation
39.74 Watch
Low 5.75% 24.72 11.30 4.80 1.80 58.0% 30.0%
9
Trae Young
Trae Young
ID: 1629027 Out Avail: 0.0%
Fringe
36.86 Watch
High 4.82% 20.73 15.20 3.00 6.20 72.0% 43.0%
10
Jaden Hardy
Jaden Hardy
ID: 1630702
Bench
36.83 Watch
Low 4.98% 21.41 13.40 1.40 1.80 60.0% 45.0%
11
Sharife Cooper
Sharife Cooper
ID: 1630536
Bench
34.25 Watch
Low 4.45% 19.15 11.00 1.60 4.30 69.0% 50.0%
12
Alex Sarr
Alex Sarr
ID: 1642259 Out Avail: 0.0%
Fringe
31.34 Watch
High 5.07% 21.78 11.38 6.00 2.50 46.0% 31.0%
Impact Score blends starter expectation, confidence, minutes load, share concentration, stability, and availability-adjusted risk.