Game Dossier
Elite model-vs-market intelligence for a single matchup, with core market verdicts, ranked opportunities, player prop signals, and operator diagnostics.
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Mapping: Mapped Run: Completed Snapshot May 01 · 09:00 AM
Game 0042500106
Orlando Magic
VS
Detroit Pistons
Apr 30, 2026 · 05:00 PM
Kia Center
Best core market
Total · Over
Top opportunity
ORL vs DET · Total · Over
Qualified edges
37
Positive edges
52
Fair Home Win %
28.0%
Fair Spread (Home)
7.9
Fair Total
231.7
Operator Provenance
Snapshot 242
Edge Run 232
Projection Run 36740
Model Version 45
Core Market Verdict
Best model-vs-market disagreement across moneyline, spread, and total.
Total
Bet365
Over
Edge
+21.66
Edge Score
21.66
Market Line
210.0
Model Line
231.7
Line Gap
+21.7
Odds 1.90
Spread
Bet365
Home
Edge
+4.39
Edge Score
4.39
Market Line
3.5
Model Line
7.9
Line Gap
+4.4
Odds 1.95
Moneyline
Bet365
Away
Edge
+0.09
Edge Score
8.76
Book Implied
63.3%
Model Prob
72.1%
Probability Gap
+8.8 pts
Odds 1.58
Best Bets in This Game
Ranked opportunity board split into core markets and player props.
Core Opportunities
1
ORL vs DET
Total · Over
Line 210.0
Model 231.7
+21.66
2
ORL vs DET
Total · Over
Line 210.0
Model 231.7
+21.66
3
ORL vs DET
Moneyline · Away
Line —
Model 0.7
+0.09
Prop Opportunities
# Player Market Line Model Edge Book Odds
1
Jalen Duren
Jalen Duren
PRA · Over
 PlayerPra 24.5 36.6 +12.08 Bet365 1.83
2
Ausar Thompson
Ausar Thompson
PRA · Over
 PlayerPra 19.5 29.6 +10.06 Bet365 1.95
3
Jalen Duren
Jalen Duren
Points · Over
 PlayerPoints 13.5 21.1 +7.56 Bet365 1.83
Player Prop Intelligence
Projection snapshot plus each player’s highest-ranked market disagreements.
Jalen Duren
Jalen Duren
Detroit Pistons
Best +12.08
PTS 21.1
REB 11.7
AST 3.8
PRA 36.6
3PM 0.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 24.5 36.6 +12.08 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 13.5 21.1 +7.56 1.83 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 9.5 11.7 +2.24 2.22 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 3.8 +1.28 2.50 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 3.8 -1.28 1.52 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 9.5 11.7 -2.24 1.64 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 13.5 21.1 -7.56 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 24.5 36.6 -12.08 1.95 Bet365
Ausar Thompson
Ausar Thompson
Detroit Pistons
Best +10.06
PTS 15.1
REB 9.7
AST 4.8
PRA 29.6
3PM 0.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 19.5 29.6 +10.06 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 9.5 15.1 +5.64 2.02 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 7.5 9.7 +2.16 2.05 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 3.5 4.8 +1.26 2.30 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 3.5 4.8 -1.26 1.60 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 7.5 9.7 -2.16 1.74 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 9.5 15.1 -5.64 1.76 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 19.5 29.6 -10.06 1.83 Bet365
Duncan Robinson
Duncan Robinson
Detroit Pistons
Best +6.92
PTS 16.1
REB 2.7
AST 2.7
PRA 21.4
3PM 5.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 14.5 21.4 +6.92 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 10.5 16.1 +5.60 2.00 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 5.1 +2.63 2.22 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 2.7 +1.16 1.62 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 2.7 +0.16 2.02 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 2.7 -0.16 1.76 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 2.7 -1.16 2.25 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 2.5 5.1 -2.63 1.64 Bet365
Paolo Banchero
Paolo Banchero
Orlando Magic
Best +5.52
PTS 27.4
REB 9.2
AST 7.5
PRA 44.0
3PM 2.8
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 38.5 44.0 +5.52 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 24.5 27.4 +2.88 1.95 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 5.5 7.5 +1.97 2.02 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.8 +1.28 2.10 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 8.5 9.2 +0.67 1.95 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 8.5 9.2 -0.67 1.83 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.8 -1.28 1.71 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 5.5 7.5 -1.97 1.76 Bet365
Desmond Bane
Desmond Bane
Orlando Magic
Best +4.43
PTS 22.5
REB 5.5
AST 2.9
PRA 30.9
3PM 4.7
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 26.5 30.9 +4.43 1.80 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 19.5 22.5 +2.99 1.90 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 4.7 +2.23 2.10 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 5.5 +1.04 2.05 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 2.9 +0.40 1.58 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 2.9 -0.40 2.35 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 5.5 -1.04 1.74 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 2.5 4.7 -2.23 1.71 Bet365
Wendell Carter Jr.
Wendell Carter Jr.
Orlando Magic
Best +3.55
PTS 12.8
REB 10.6
AST 2.7
PRA 26.1
3PM 1.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 22.5 26.1 +3.55 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 10.5 12.8 +2.29 1.80 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 8.5 10.6 +2.06 2.02 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 1.1 +0.64 1.74 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 2.7 +0.20 2.40 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 2.7 -0.20 1.55 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 1.1 -0.64 2.05 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 8.5 10.6 -2.06 1.76 Bet365
Jamal Cain
Jamal Cain
Orlando Magic
Best +3.37
PTS 11.3
REB 4.8
AST 0.8
PRA 16.9
3PM 1.2
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 13.5 16.9 +3.37 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 8.5 11.3 +2.77 2.02 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 1.2 +0.72 1.52 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 4.8 +0.32 2.10 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 0.8 +0.28 1.50 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 0.8 -0.28 2.55 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 4.8 -0.32 1.71 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 1.2 -0.72 2.50 Bet365
Jalen Suggs
Jalen Suggs
Orlando Magic
Best +3.34
PTS 16.7
REB 4.4
AST 4.9
PRA 25.9
3PM 5.8
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 5.8 +3.34 2.15 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 13.5 16.7 +3.20 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 23.5 25.9 +2.41 1.90 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 4.4 +0.86 1.64 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 4.5 4.9 +0.35 1.86 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 4.5 4.9 -0.35 1.90 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 4.4 -0.86 2.22 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 23.5 25.9 -2.41 1.86 Bet365
Anthony Black
Anthony Black
Orlando Magic
Best +2.87
PTS 10.6
REB 4.0
AST 2.1
PRA 16.8
3PM 2.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Under 13.5 10.6 +2.87 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 19.5 16.8 +2.70 2.00 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 4.0 +0.54 2.00 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.0 +0.50 2.30 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 2.1 +0.37 2.15 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 2.1 -0.37 1.68 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.0 -0.50 1.60 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 4.0 -0.54 1.80 Bet365
Cade Cunningham
Cade Cunningham
Detroit Pistons
Best +2.78
PTS 32.3
REB 6.1
AST 9.4
PRA 47.8
3PM 4.5
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 29.5 32.3 +2.78 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 45.5 47.8 +2.29 1.95 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 4.5 +1.95 2.15 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 8.5 9.4 +0.88 1.76 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 6.5 6.1 +0.37 1.71 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Over 6.5 6.1 -0.37 2.10 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 8.5 9.4 -0.88 2.02 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 2.5 4.5 -1.95 1.68 Bet365
Operator Diagnostics Snapshot state, ingestion depth, and edge-run footprint.
Mapping
Mapped
Books
2
Markets
35
Selections
518
Edges
104
Qualified
37