Game Dossier
Elite model-vs-market intelligence for a single matchup, with core market verdicts, ranked opportunities, player prop signals, and operator diagnostics.
Mapping: Mapped Run: Completed Snapshot May 03 · 09:00 AM
Game 0042500107
Detroit Pistons
VS
Orlando Magic
May 02, 2026 · 05:00 PM
Little Caesars Arena
Best core market
Total · Over
Top opportunity
DET vs ORL · Total · Over
Qualified edges
36
Positive edges
74
Fair Home Win %
72.5%
Fair Spread (Home)
-8.1
Fair Total
230.9
Operator Provenance
Snapshot 246
Edge Run 236
Projection Run 36744
Model Version 45
Core Market Verdict
Best model-vs-market disagreement across moneyline, spread, and total.
Total
Bet365
Over
Edge
+28.94
Edge Score
28.94
Market Line
202.0
Model Line
230.9
Line Gap
+28.9
Spread
Bet365
Home
Edge
+0.44
Edge Score
0.44
Market Line
-8.5
Model Line
-8.1
Line Gap
+0.4
Moneyline
Bet365
Away
Edge
+0.00
Edge Score
-0.24
Book Implied
27.8%
Model Prob
27.5%
Probability Gap
-0.2 pts
Best Bets in This Game
Ranked opportunity board split into core markets and player props.
Core Opportunities
1
DET vs ORL
Total · Over
Line 202.0
Model 230.9
+28.94
Prop Opportunities
# Player Market Line Model Edge Book Odds
1
Wendell Carter Jr.
Wendell Carter Jr.
PRA · Over
PlayerPra 19.5 24.1 +4.64 Bet365 1.89
2
Ausar Thompson
Ausar Thompson
PRA · Over
PlayerPra 21.5 26.0 +4.54 Bet365 1.90
3
Jamal Cain
Jamal Cain
PRA · Over
PlayerPra 10.5 14.4 +3.88 Bet365 1.90
4
Paolo Banchero
Paolo Banchero
PRA · Over
PlayerPra 37.5 41.3 +3.75 Bet365 1.83
5
Jalen Suggs
Jalen Suggs
PRA · Over
PlayerPra 21.5 25.2 +3.70 Bet365 1.89
Player Prop Intelligence
Projection snapshot plus each player’s highest-ranked market disagreements.
Wendell Carter Jr.
Wendell Carter Jr.
Orlando Magic
Best +4.64
PTS 12.2
REB 9.2
AST 2.7
PRA 24.1
3PM 1.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 19.5 24.1 +4.64 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 9.5 12.2 +2.73 1.80 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 7.5 9.2 +1.71 2.15 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 2.7 +1.20 1.55 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 1.1 +0.63 1.62 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 1.1 -0.63 2.25 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 2.7 -1.20 2.40 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 7.5 9.2 -1.71 1.68 Bet365
Ausar Thompson
Ausar Thompson
Detroit Pistons
Best +4.54
PTS 11.9
REB 9.3
AST 4.8
PRA 26.0
3PM 0.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 21.5 26.0 +4.54 1.90 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 9.5 11.9 +2.43 1.95 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 3.5 4.8 +1.29 2.25 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 8.5 9.3 +0.82 2.10 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 8.5 9.3 -0.82 1.71 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 3.5 4.8 -1.29 1.62 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 9.5 11.9 -2.43 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 21.5 26.0 -4.54 1.86 Bet365
Jamal Cain
Jamal Cain
Orlando Magic
Best +3.88
PTS 8.9
REB 4.6
AST 0.8
PRA 14.4
3PM 1.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 10.5 14.4 +3.88 1.90 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 5.5 8.9 +3.43 1.76 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 4.6 +1.11 2.02 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 1.0 +0.50 1.80 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 0.8 +0.34 1.58 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 0.8 -0.34 2.35 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 1.0 -0.50 2.00 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 4.6 -1.11 1.76 Bet365
Paolo Banchero
Paolo Banchero
Orlando Magic
Best +3.75
PTS 24.9
REB 9.1
AST 7.2
PRA 41.3
3PM 2.8
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 37.5 41.3 +3.75 1.83 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 5.5 7.2 +1.74 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 23.5 24.9 +1.41 1.90 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.8 +1.31 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 8.5 9.1 +0.60 2.00 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 8.5 9.1 -0.60 1.80 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.8 -1.31 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 23.5 24.9 -1.41 1.86 Bet365
Jalen Suggs
Jalen Suggs
Orlando Magic
Best +3.70
PTS 15.0
REB 5.1
AST 5.1
PRA 25.2
3PM 5.3
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 21.5 25.2 +3.70 1.89 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 5.3 +2.76 2.35 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 5.1 +1.60 1.66 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 13.5 15.0 +1.50 2.00 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 4.5 5.1 +0.60 1.68 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 4.5 5.1 -0.60 2.15 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 13.5 15.0 -1.50 1.80 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 5.1 -1.60 2.20 Bet365
Cade Cunningham
Cade Cunningham
Detroit Pistons
Best +3.28
PTS 27.5
REB 6.2
AST 7.6
PRA 41.2
3PM 3.7
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Under 44.5 41.2 +3.28 1.90 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 29.5 27.5 +2.01 1.89 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 3.7 +1.16 2.15 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 8.5 7.6 +0.92 1.89 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 5.5 6.2 +0.65 1.80 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 5.5 6.2 -0.65 2.00 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 8.5 7.6 -0.92 1.89 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 2.5 3.7 -1.16 1.68 Bet365
Duncan Robinson
Duncan Robinson
Detroit Pistons
Best +3.20
PTS 13.7
REB 2.4
AST 2.3
PRA 18.5
3PM 4.6
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 10.5 13.7 +3.20 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 15.5 18.5 +2.98 1.95 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 4.6 +2.07 2.02 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 2.3 +0.84 1.62 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 2.4 +0.06 1.89 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 2.4 -0.06 1.89 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 2.3 -0.84 2.25 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 2.5 4.6 -2.07 1.76 Bet365
Tobias Harris
Tobias Harris
Detroit Pistons
Best +3.15
PTS 20.7
REB 7.1
AST 1.4
PRA 29.2
3PM 2.5
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 17.5 20.7 +3.15 1.74 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 26.5 29.2 +2.67 1.86 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.5 +1.03 2.35 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 6.5 7.1 +0.64 2.10 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 1.4 +0.12 2.30 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 1.4 -0.12 1.60 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 6.5 7.1 -0.64 1.71 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.5 -1.03 1.58 Bet365
Anthony Black
Anthony Black
Orlando Magic
Best +2.83
PTS 9.3
REB 3.5
AST 1.9
PRA 14.7
3PM 1.9
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Under 17.5 14.7 +2.83 1.80 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 11.5 9.3 +2.17 1.80 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 1.9 +0.65 2.20 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 1.9 +0.36 2.22 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 3.5 +0.01 1.76 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 3.5 -0.01 2.02 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 1.9 -0.36 1.64 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 1.9 -0.65 1.66 Bet365
Desmond Bane
Desmond Bane
Orlando Magic
Best +2.27
PTS 20.8
REB 5.3
AST 2.2
PRA 28.4
3PM 4.8
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 4.8 +2.27 2.02 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 26.5 28.4 +1.86 1.86 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 5.3 +1.81 1.66 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 19.5 20.8 +1.33 1.90 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 2.2 +0.28 2.10 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 2.2 -0.28 1.71 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 19.5 20.8 -1.33 1.86 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 5.3 -1.81 2.20 Bet365
Jalen Duren
Jalen Duren
Detroit Pistons
Best +2.21
PTS 14.7
REB 8.8
AST 2.7
PRA 26.2
3PM 0.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 12.5 14.7 +2.21 1.80 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 24.5 26.2 +1.66 1.89 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 2.7 +1.18 1.66 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 9.5 8.8 +0.73 2.00 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 9.5 8.8 -0.73 1.80 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 2.7 -1.18 2.20 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 24.5 26.2 -1.66 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 12.5 14.7 -2.21 2.00 Bet365
Tristan da Silva
Tristan da Silva
Orlando Magic
Best +1.95
PTS 4.0
REB 2.8
AST 0.8
PRA 7.6
3PM 0.8
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Under 9.5 7.6 +1.95 2.00 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 5.5 4.0 +1.55 1.90 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 0.8 +0.32 1.64 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 2.8 +0.28 1.80 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 0.8 +0.27 1.45 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 0.8 -0.27 2.70 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 2.8 -0.28 2.00 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 0.8 -0.32 2.22 Bet365
Operator Diagnostics Snapshot state, ingestion depth, and edge-run footprint.
Mapping
Mapped
Books
2
Markets
35
Selections
617
Edges
152
Qualified
36