Game Dossier
Elite model-vs-market intelligence for a single matchup, with core market verdicts, ranked opportunities, player prop signals, and operator diagnostics.
Mapping: Mapped Run: Completed Snapshot Apr 26 · 09:00 AM
Game 0042500154
Portland Trail Blazers
VS
San Antonio Spurs
Apr 25, 2026 · 05:00 PM
Moda Center
Best core market
Total · Over
Top opportunity
Stephon Castle · PRA · Over
Qualified edges
46
Positive edges
71
Fair Home Win %
50.9%
Fair Spread (Home)
-0.3
Fair Total
229.2
Operator Provenance
Snapshot 227
Edge Run 217
Projection Run 36715
Model Version 45
Core Market Verdict
Best model-vs-market disagreement across moneyline, spread, and total.
Total
Bet365
Over
Edge
+10.24
Edge Score
10.24
Market Line
219.0
Model Line
229.2
Line Gap
+10.2
Spread
Bet365
Away
Edge
+5.81
Edge Score
5.81
Market Line
5.5
Model Line
0.3
Line Gap
-5.2
Moneyline
Bet365
Home
Edge
+0.14
Edge Score
13.89
Book Implied
37.0%
Model Prob
50.9%
Probability Gap
+13.9 pts
Best Bets in This Game
Ranked opportunity board split into core markets and player props.
Core Opportunities
1
POR vs SAS
Total · Over
Line 219.0
Model 229.2
+10.24
2
POR vs SAS
Total · Over
Line 219.0
Model 229.2
+10.24
3
POR vs SAS
Moneyline · Home
Line —
Model 0.5
+0.14
4
POR vs SAS
Moneyline · Home
Line —
Model 0.5
+0.14
Prop Opportunities
# Player Market Line Model Edge Book Odds
1
Stephon Castle
Stephon Castle
PRA · Over
PlayerPra 30.5 41.3 +10.82 Bet365 1.89
2
Julian Champagnie
Julian Champagnie
PRA · Over
PlayerPra 14.5 20.9 +6.43 Bet365 1.89
Player Prop Intelligence
Projection snapshot plus each player’s highest-ranked market disagreements.
Stephon Castle
Stephon Castle
San Antonio Spurs
Best +10.82
PTS 23.7
REB 8.1
AST 9.5
PRA 41.3
3PM 3.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 30.5 41.3 +10.82 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 17.5 23.7 +6.22 1.83 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 6.5 9.5 +3.04 1.80 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 5.5 8.1 +2.56 1.86 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 3.0 +1.49 2.45 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 3.0 -1.49 1.54 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 5.5 8.1 -2.56 1.90 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 6.5 9.5 -3.04 2.00 Bet365
Julian Champagnie
Julian Champagnie
San Antonio Spurs
Best +6.43
PTS 12.5
REB 6.4
AST 2.1
PRA 20.9
3PM 3.5
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 14.5 20.9 +6.43 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 7.5 12.5 +4.95 1.80 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 3.5 +2.04 1.86 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 6.4 +1.89 1.68 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 2.1 +0.59 2.45 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 2.1 -0.59 1.54 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 6.4 -1.89 2.15 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 3.5 -2.04 1.90 Bet365
Dylan Harper
Dylan Harper
San Antonio Spurs
Best +6.42
PTS 15.5
REB 3.8
AST 3.6
PRA 22.9
3PM 1.4
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 16.5 22.9 +6.42 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 10.5 15.5 +4.97 1.86 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 3.8 +1.33 1.60 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 3.6 +1.12 1.68 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 1.4 +0.90 1.66 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 1.4 -0.90 2.20 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 3.6 -1.12 2.15 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 3.8 -1.33 2.30 Bet365
De'Aaron Fox
De'Aaron Fox
San Antonio Spurs
Best +6.31
PTS 22.5
REB 4.6
AST 6.7
PRA 33.8
3PM 3.3
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 27.5 33.8 +6.31 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 17.5 22.5 +5.03 1.86 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 3.3 +1.77 1.89 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 5.5 6.7 +1.20 1.80 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 4.6 +1.08 1.80 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 4.6 -1.08 2.00 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 5.5 6.7 -1.20 2.00 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 3.3 -1.77 1.89 Bet365
Devin Vassell
Devin Vassell
San Antonio Spurs
Best +5.99
PTS 16.1
REB 6.6
AST 2.8
PRA 25.5
3PM 3.9
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 19.5 25.5 +5.99 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 12.5 16.1 +3.57 1.83 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 6.6 +2.13 2.22 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 3.9 +1.44 2.40 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 2.8 +0.29 2.22 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 2.8 -0.29 1.64 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 2.5 3.9 -1.44 1.55 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 6.6 -2.13 1.64 Bet365
Deni Avdija
Deni Avdija
Portland Trail Blazers
Best +5.50
PTS 29.0
REB 6.4
AST 7.0
PRA 42.4
3PM 2.8
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 23.5 29.0 +5.50 2.00 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 37.5 42.4 +4.88 1.95 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.8 +1.31 1.89 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 6.5 7.0 +0.48 1.83 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 6.5 6.4 +0.10 2.02 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Over 6.5 6.4 -0.10 1.76 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 6.5 7.0 -0.48 1.95 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.8 -1.31 1.89 Bet365
Scoot Henderson
Scoot Henderson
Portland Trail Blazers
Best +5.35
PTS 19.9
REB 2.3
AST 2.5
PRA 24.6
3PM 4.2
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 14.5 19.9 +5.35 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 20.5 24.6 +4.14 1.86 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 4.2 +2.71 1.55 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 2.3 +0.16 2.02 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 2.5 +0.05 2.20 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 2.5 -0.05 1.66 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 2.3 -0.16 1.76 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 4.2 -2.71 2.40 Bet365
Jrue Holiday
Jrue Holiday
Portland Trail Blazers
Best +4.90
PTS 21.4
REB 5.6
AST 6.4
PRA 33.4
3PM 5.4
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 28.5 33.4 +4.90 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 17.5 21.4 +3.92 1.83 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 5.4 +2.88 1.83 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 5.6 +1.09 2.15 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 5.5 6.4 +0.89 1.66 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 5.5 6.4 -0.89 2.20 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 5.6 -1.09 1.68 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 2.5 5.4 -2.88 1.95 Bet365
Toumani Camara
Toumani Camara
Portland Trail Blazers
Best +4.86
PTS 14.4
REB 4.2
AST 1.5
PRA 20.0
3PM 4.6
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 9.5 14.4 +4.86 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 15.5 20.0 +4.46 1.80 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 4.6 +3.08 1.52 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 4.2 +0.35 2.10 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 1.5 +0.05 1.90 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 1.5 -0.05 1.86 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 4.2 -0.35 1.71 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 4.6 -3.08 2.50 Bet365
Keldon Johnson
Keldon Johnson
San Antonio Spurs
Best +1.97
PTS 10.5
REB 4.7
AST 1.0
PRA 16.1
3PM 1.5
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 8.5 10.5 +1.97 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 14.5 16.1 +1.63 1.90 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 1.5 +1.03 1.62 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 1.0 +0.50 1.43 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 4.7 +0.16 2.00 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 4.7 -0.16 1.80 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 1.0 -0.50 2.75 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 1.5 -1.03 2.25 Bet365
Jerami Grant
Jerami Grant
Portland Trail Blazers
Best +1.90
PTS 12.4
REB 2.0
AST 0.6
PRA 15.0
3PM 3.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 10.5 12.4 +1.90 1.80 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 3.0 +1.45 2.05 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 0.6 +0.87 1.45 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 14.5 15.0 +0.51 2.00 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 1.5 2.0 +0.48 1.62 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 1.5 2.0 -0.48 2.25 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 14.5 15.0 -0.51 1.80 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 0.6 -0.87 2.70 Bet365
Robert Williams III
Robert Williams III
Portland Trail Blazers
Best +1.10
PTS 8.1
REB 7.8
AST 1.7
PRA 17.6
3PM 0.5
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 16.5 17.6 +1.10 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 7.5 8.1 +0.61 1.86 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 7.5 7.8 +0.25 1.83 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 1.7 +0.24 2.70 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 0.5 +0.01 1.52 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 0.5 -0.01 2.50 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 1.7 -0.24 1.45 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 7.5 7.8 -0.25 1.95 Bet365
Operator Diagnostics Snapshot state, ingestion depth, and edge-run footprint.
Mapping
Mapped
Books
2
Markets
31
Selections
548
Edges
142
Qualified
46