Game Dossier
Elite model-vs-market intelligence for a single matchup, with core market verdicts, ranked opportunities, player prop signals, and operator diagnostics.
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Mapping: Mapped Run: Completed Snapshot Apr 20 · 09:01 AM
Game 0042500162
Denver Nuggets
VS
Minnesota Timberwolves
Apr 19, 2026 · 05:00 PM
Ball Arena
Best core market
Total · Over
Top opportunity
DEN vs MIN · Total · Over
Qualified edges
34
Positive edges
68
Fair Home Win %
67.3%
Fair Spread (Home)
-6.0
Fair Total
240.3
Operator Provenance
Snapshot 211
Edge Run 201
Projection Run 36698
Model Version 45
Core Market Verdict
Best model-vs-market disagreement across moneyline, spread, and total.
Total
Bet365
Over
Edge
+9.31
Edge Score
9.31
Market Line
231.0
Model Line
240.3
Line Gap
+9.3
Odds 1.90
Spread
Bet365
Home
Edge
+1.00
Edge Score
1.00
Market Line
-7.0
Model Line
-6.0
Line Gap
+1.0
Odds 1.90
Moneyline
Bet365
Away
Edge
+0.02
Edge Score
2.44
Book Implied
30.3%
Model Prob
32.7%
Probability Gap
+2.4 pts
Odds 3.30
Best Bets in This Game
Ranked opportunity board split into core markets and player props.
Core Opportunities
1
DEN vs MIN
Total · Over
Line 231.0
Model 240.3
+9.31
Prop Opportunities
# Player Market Line Model Edge Book Odds
1
Ayo Dosunmu
Ayo Dosunmu
PRA · Over
 PlayerPra 18.5 27.6 +9.10 Bet365 1.83
2
Rudy Gobert
Rudy Gobert
PRA · Over
 PlayerPra 23.5 29.4 +5.85 Bet365 1.89
3
Ayo Dosunmu
Ayo Dosunmu
Points · Over
 PlayerPoints 12.5 18.0 +5.52 Bet365 1.86
4
Naz Reid
Naz Reid
PRA · Under
 PlayerPra 18.5 13.3 +5.18 Bet365 1.83
5
Cameron Johnson
Cameron Johnson
PRA · Over
 PlayerPra 17.5 22.4 +4.90 Bet365 1.83
Player Prop Intelligence
Projection snapshot plus each player’s highest-ranked market disagreements.
Ayo Dosunmu
Ayo Dosunmu
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +9.10
PTS 18.0
REB 5.4
AST 4.2
PRA 27.6
3PM 2.7
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 18.5 27.6 +9.10 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 12.5 18.0 +5.52 1.86 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 5.4 +2.91 1.66 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 4.2 +1.67 1.58 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.7 +1.24 2.00 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.7 -1.24 1.80 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 4.2 -1.67 2.35 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 5.4 -2.91 2.20 Bet365
Rudy Gobert
Rudy Gobert
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +5.85
PTS 14.5
REB 13.4
AST 1.5
PRA 29.4
3PM 0.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 23.5 29.4 +5.85 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 10.5 14.5 +4.02 1.89 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 10.5 13.4 +2.88 1.74 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 1.5 +0.05 1.74 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 1.5 -0.05 2.05 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 10.5 13.4 -2.88 2.05 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 10.5 14.5 -4.02 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 23.5 29.4 -5.85 1.89 Bet365
Naz Reid
Naz Reid
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +5.18
PTS 8.8
REB 3.8
AST 0.8
PRA 13.3
3PM 1.9
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Under 18.5 13.3 +5.18 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 11.5 8.8 +2.74 1.80 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 5.5 3.8 +1.71 1.80 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 0.8 +0.73 2.00 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 1.9 +0.35 1.83 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 1.9 -0.35 1.95 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 0.8 -0.73 1.80 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 5.5 3.8 -1.71 2.00 Bet365
Cameron Johnson
Cameron Johnson
Denver Nuggets
Best +4.90
PTS 15.8
REB 3.7
AST 2.9
PRA 22.4
3PM 4.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 17.5 22.4 +4.90 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 11.5 15.8 +4.32 1.90 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 4.0 +2.48 1.66 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 2.9 +0.38 2.25 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 3.7 +0.20 1.86 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 3.7 -0.20 1.90 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 2.9 -0.38 1.62 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 4.0 -2.48 2.20 Bet365
Nikola Jokić
Nikola Jokić
Denver Nuggets
Best +4.56
PTS 23.9
REB 12.8
AST 10.3
PRA 47.0
3PM 1.7
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Under 28.5 23.9 +4.56 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 51.5 47.0 +4.50 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 13.5 12.8 +0.73 1.95 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 1.7 +0.24 1.66 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 10.5 10.3 +0.21 1.71 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Over 10.5 10.3 -0.21 2.10 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 1.7 -0.24 2.20 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 13.5 12.8 -0.73 1.83 Bet365
Jaden McDaniels
Jaden McDaniels
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +3.85
PTS 19.4
REB 4.5
AST 2.4
PRA 26.2
3PM 2.3
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 15.5 19.4 +3.85 1.90 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 23.5 26.2 +2.73 1.90 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.3 +0.83 2.22 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 2.4 +0.07 1.86 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 4.5 +0.05 1.95 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 4.5 -0.05 1.83 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 2.4 -0.07 1.90 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.3 -0.83 1.64 Bet365
Christian Braun
Christian Braun
Denver Nuggets
Best +3.21
PTS 14.7
REB 5.0
AST 1.9
PRA 21.6
3PM 2.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 11.5 14.7 +3.21 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 18.5 21.6 +3.14 1.89 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.1 +0.58 2.80 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 1.9 +0.58 1.55 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 5.0 +0.51 1.76 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 5.0 -0.51 2.02 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.1 -0.58 1.42 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 1.9 -0.58 2.40 Bet365
Jamal Murray
Jamal Murray
Denver Nuggets
Best +3.19
PTS 27.2
REB 4.0
AST 6.8
PRA 38.0
3PM 5.7
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 5.7 +3.19 1.64 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 26.5 27.2 +0.73 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 37.5 38.0 +0.54 1.86 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 4.0 +0.46 1.76 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 6.5 6.8 +0.27 1.80 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 6.5 6.8 -0.27 2.00 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 4.0 -0.46 2.02 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 37.5 38.0 -0.54 1.90 Bet365
Julius Randle
Julius Randle
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +3.14
PTS 21.6
REB 5.9
AST 4.0
PRA 31.5
3PM 2.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 18.5 21.6 +3.14 1.90 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 29.5 31.5 +1.99 1.89 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 6.5 5.9 +0.61 1.71 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 4.5 4.0 +0.54 1.76 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.0 +0.51 2.45 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.0 -0.51 1.54 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 4.5 4.0 -0.54 2.02 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 6.5 5.9 -0.61 2.10 Bet365
Bruce Brown
Bruce Brown
Denver Nuggets
Best +2.69
PTS 9.2
REB 3.8
AST 2.0
PRA 15.0
3PM 1.2
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 6.5 9.2 +2.69 2.00 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 12.5 15.0 +2.53 1.83 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 1.2 +0.70 1.95 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 2.0 +0.51 1.80 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 3.8 +0.33 2.25 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 3.8 -0.33 1.62 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 2.0 -0.51 2.00 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 1.2 -0.70 1.83 Bet365
Aaron Gordon
Aaron Gordon
Denver Nuggets
Best +2.58
PTS 14.6
REB 5.2
AST 3.2
PRA 22.9
3PM 2.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Under 25.5 22.9 +2.58 1.86 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 6.5 5.2 +1.28 1.74 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 15.5 14.6 +0.95 2.05 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 3.2 +0.65 1.86 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.0 +0.54 1.86 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.0 -0.54 1.90 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 3.2 -0.65 1.90 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 15.5 14.6 -0.95 1.74 Bet365
Donte DiVincenzo
Donte DiVincenzo
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +2.49
PTS 12.4
REB 2.2
AST 2.1
PRA 16.6
3PM 5.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 5.0 +2.49 2.02 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 10.5 12.4 +1.85 1.86 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 3.5 2.1 +1.43 1.58 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 2.2 +1.34 1.68 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 16.5 16.6 +0.08 1.80 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Under 16.5 16.6 -0.08 2.00 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 2.2 -1.34 2.15 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 3.5 2.1 -1.43 2.35 Bet365
Operator Diagnostics Snapshot state, ingestion depth, and edge-run footprint.
Mapping
Mapped
Books
2
Markets
35
Selections
613
Edges
136
Qualified
34