Game Dossier
Elite model-vs-market intelligence for a single matchup, with core market verdicts, ranked opportunities, player prop signals, and operator diagnostics.
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Mapping: Mapped Run: Completed Snapshot Apr 23 · 12:19 PM
Game 0042500163
Minnesota Timberwolves
VS
Denver Nuggets
Apr 22, 2026 · 05:00 PM
Target Center
Best core market
Total · Over
Top opportunity
MIN vs DEN · Total · Over
Qualified edges
32
Positive edges
65
Fair Home Win %
32.2%
Fair Spread (Home)
6.2
Fair Total
240.2
Operator Provenance
Snapshot 219
Edge Run 209
Projection Run 36706
Model Version 45
Core Market Verdict
Best model-vs-market disagreement across moneyline, spread, and total.
Total
Bet365
Over
Edge
+7.69
Edge Score
7.69
Market Line
232.5
Model Line
240.2
Line Gap
+7.7
Odds 1.90
Spread
Bet365
Home
Edge
+4.19
Edge Score
4.19
Market Line
2.0
Model Line
6.2
Line Gap
+4.2
Odds 1.90
Moneyline
Bet365
Away
Edge
+0.11
Edge Score
10.94
Book Implied
56.8%
Model Prob
67.8%
Probability Gap
+10.9 pts
Odds 1.76
Best Bets in This Game
Ranked opportunity board split into core markets and player props.
Core Opportunities
1
MIN vs DEN
Total · Over
Line 232.5
Model 240.2
+7.69
2
MIN vs DEN
Total · Over
Line 233.5
Model 240.2
+6.69
3
MIN vs DEN
Total · Over
Line 234.0
Model 240.2
+6.19
4
MIN vs DEN
Total · Over
Line 234.0
Model 240.2
+6.19
5
MIN vs DEN
Moneyline · Away
Line —
Model 0.7
+0.11
Prop Opportunities
# Player Market Line Model Edge Book Odds
1
Ayo Dosunmu
Ayo Dosunmu
PRA · Over
 PlayerPra 17.5 22.5 +4.97 Bet365 1.83
Player Prop Intelligence
Projection snapshot plus each player’s highest-ranked market disagreements.
Ayo Dosunmu
Ayo Dosunmu
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +4.97
PTS 14.5
REB 4.4
AST 3.6
PRA 22.5
3PM 2.2
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 17.5 22.5 +4.97 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 11.5 14.5 +3.03 1.83 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 4.4 +1.86 1.60 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.2 +0.70 2.35 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 3.5 3.6 +0.08 2.25 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 3.5 3.6 -0.08 1.62 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.2 -0.70 1.58 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 4.4 -1.86 2.30 Bet365
Bruce Brown
Bruce Brown
Denver Nuggets
Best +4.91
PTS 9.4
REB 3.9
AST 2.1
PRA 15.4
3PM 1.3
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 10.5 15.4 +4.91 1.71 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 5.5 9.4 +3.90 1.83 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 1.3 +0.81 1.89 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 2.1 +0.59 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 3.9 +0.42 2.20 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 3.9 -0.42 1.66 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 2.1 -0.59 1.83 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 1.3 -0.81 1.89 Bet365
Jaden McDaniels
Jaden McDaniels
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +4.12
PTS 19.4
REB 4.6
AST 2.6
PRA 26.6
3PM 2.3
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 22.5 26.6 +4.12 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 15.5 19.4 +3.91 2.02 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.3 +0.78 2.25 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 4.6 +0.13 2.10 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 2.6 +0.08 1.76 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 2.6 -0.08 2.02 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 4.6 -0.13 1.71 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.3 -0.78 1.62 Bet365
Cameron Johnson
Cameron Johnson
Denver Nuggets
Best +4.07
PTS 15.3
REB 3.6
AST 2.8
PRA 21.6
3PM 3.7
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 17.5 21.6 +4.07 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 11.5 15.3 +3.76 1.89 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 3.7 +2.20 1.55 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 2.8 +0.25 2.20 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 3.6 +0.06 1.95 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 3.6 -0.06 1.83 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 2.8 -0.25 1.66 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 3.7 -2.20 2.40 Bet365
Nikola Jokić
Nikola Jokić
Denver Nuggets
Best +3.61
PTS 25.9
REB 13.4
AST 10.1
PRA 49.3
3PM 2.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Under 29.5 25.9 +3.61 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 52.5 49.3 +3.16 1.86 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.1 +0.60 1.80 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 9.5 10.1 +0.58 1.74 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 13.5 13.4 +0.13 1.90 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Over 13.5 13.4 -0.13 1.86 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 9.5 10.1 -0.58 2.05 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.1 -0.60 2.00 Bet365
Julius Randle
Julius Randle
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +3.61
PTS 23.1
REB 6.6
AST 4.4
PRA 34.1
3PM 2.3
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 19.5 23.1 +3.61 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 31.5 34.1 +2.56 1.83 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.3 +0.83 2.30 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 4.5 4.4 +0.14 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 6.5 6.6 +0.09 1.89 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 6.5 6.6 -0.09 1.89 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 4.5 4.4 -0.14 1.83 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.3 -0.83 1.60 Bet365
Christian Braun
Christian Braun
Denver Nuggets
Best +3.57
PTS 15.1
REB 4.7
AST 2.2
PRA 22.0
3PM 2.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 11.5 15.1 +3.57 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 18.5 22.0 +3.50 1.90 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.1 +0.58 2.82 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 2.2 +0.26 1.68 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 4.7 +0.19 1.83 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 4.7 -0.19 1.95 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 2.2 -0.26 2.15 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.1 -0.58 1.41 Bet365
Donte DiVincenzo
Donte DiVincenzo
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +2.44
PTS 12.3
REB 2.7
AST 2.6
PRA 17.6
3PM 4.9
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 4.9 +2.44 1.76 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 18.5 17.6 +0.92 1.83 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 3.5 2.6 +0.91 1.74 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 2.7 +0.81 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 11.5 12.3 +0.80 2.00 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Under 11.5 12.3 -0.80 1.80 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 2.7 -0.81 1.95 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 3.5 2.6 -0.91 2.05 Bet365
Jamal Murray
Jamal Murray
Denver Nuggets
Best +2.29
PTS 27.6
REB 4.4
AST 6.6
PRA 38.5
3PM 5.8
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Over 3.5 5.8 +2.29 2.35 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 26.5 27.6 +1.07 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 4.4 +0.13 1.90 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 6.5 6.6 +0.06 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 38.5 38.5 0.00 1.95 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Under 38.5 38.5 0.00 1.83 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 6.5 6.6 -0.06 1.90 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 4.4 -0.13 1.86 Bet365
Rudy Gobert
Rudy Gobert
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +2.24
PTS 12.1
REB 12.2
AST 1.4
PRA 25.7
3PM 0.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 23.5 25.7 +2.24 1.90 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 10.5 12.2 +1.71 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 10.5 12.1 +1.61 1.86 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 1.4 +0.08 1.89 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 1.4 -0.08 1.89 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Under 10.5 12.1 -1.61 1.90 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 10.5 12.2 -1.71 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 23.5 25.7 -2.24 1.86 Bet365
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Denver Nuggets
Best +1.50
PTS 10.0
REB 1.9
AST 1.0
PRA 12.9
3PM 3.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 3.0 +1.50 1.52 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 13.5 12.9 +0.61 2.00 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 1.9 +0.57 1.89 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 1.0 +0.53 1.45 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 9.5 10.0 +0.49 1.83 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Under 9.5 10.0 -0.49 1.95 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 1.0 -0.53 2.70 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 1.9 -0.57 1.89 Bet365
Naz Reid
Naz Reid
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +1.12
PTS 10.6
REB 4.8
AST 1.0
PRA 16.4
3PM 2.2
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Under 17.5 16.4 +1.12 1.83 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 5.5 4.8 +0.73 1.76 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.2 +0.71 1.76 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 1.0 +0.48 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 10.5 10.6 +0.09 1.83 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Under 10.5 10.6 -0.09 1.95 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 1.0 -0.48 1.90 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.2 -0.71 2.02 Bet365
Operator Diagnostics Snapshot state, ingestion depth, and edge-run footprint.
Mapping
Mapped
Books
2
Markets
36
Selections
593
Edges
132
Qualified
32