Game Dossier
Elite model-vs-market intelligence for a single matchup, with core market verdicts, ranked opportunities, player prop signals, and operator diagnostics.
Minnesota Timberwolves
VS
Denver Nuggets
Best core market
Total · Over
Top opportunity
MIN vs DEN · Total · Over
Qualified edges
30
Positive edges
61
Fair Home Win %
33.0%
Fair Spread (Home)
5.9
Fair Total
240.4
Operator Provenance
225
215
36712
45
Core Market Verdict
Best model-vs-market disagreement across moneyline, spread, and total.
Total
Bet365
Edge
+10.86
Edge Score
10.86
Market Line
229.5
Model Line
240.4
Line Gap
+10.9
Spread
Bet365
Edge
+4.91
Edge Score
4.91
Market Line
1.0
Model Line
5.9
Line Gap
+4.9
Moneyline
Bet365
Edge
+0.12
Edge Score
12.38
Book Implied
54.6%
Model Prob
67.0%
Probability Gap
+12.4 pts
Best Bets in This Game
Ranked opportunity board split into core markets and player props.
Core Opportunities
1
MIN vs DEN
Total · Over
Line 229.5
Model 240.4
+10.86
2
MIN vs DEN
Moneyline · Away
Line —
Model 0.7
+0.12
3
MIN vs DEN
Moneyline · Away
Line —
Model 0.7
+0.12
Prop Opportunities
| # | Player | Market | Line | Model | Edge | Book | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Jaden McDaniels
PRA · Over
|
PlayerPra | 22.5 | 29.1 | +6.61 | Bet365 | 1.76 |
| 2 |
Jaden McDaniels
Points · Over
|
PlayerPoints | 15.5 | 21.1 | +5.55 | Bet365 | 1.86 |
| 3 |
Ayo Dosunmu
PRA · Over
|
PlayerPra | 18.5 | 23.6 | +5.11 | Bet365 | 1.89 |
Player Prop Intelligence
Projection snapshot plus each player’s highest-ranked market disagreements.
Jaden McDaniels
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +6.61
PTS
21.1
REB
5.4
AST
2.7
PRA
29.1
3PM
2.3
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPra | Over | 22.5 | 29.1 | +6.61 | 1.76 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Over | 15.5 | 21.1 | +5.55 | 1.86 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 4.5 | 5.4 | +0.87 | 1.90 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Over | 1.5 | 2.3 | +0.81 | 2.35 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Over | 2.5 | 2.7 | +0.19 | 1.71 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerAssists | Under | 2.5 | 2.7 | -0.19 | 2.10 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Under | 1.5 | 2.3 | -0.81 | 1.58 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 4.5 | 5.4 | -0.87 | 1.86 | Bet365 |
Ayo Dosunmu
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +5.11
PTS
15.9
REB
3.9
AST
3.8
PRA
23.6
3PM
2.1
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPra | Over | 18.5 | 23.6 | +5.11 | 1.89 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Over | 12.5 | 15.9 | +3.43 | 1.90 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Over | 1.5 | 2.1 | +0.56 | 2.22 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 3.5 | 3.9 | +0.42 | 2.20 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Over | 3.5 | 3.8 | +0.26 | 2.20 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerAssists | Under | 3.5 | 3.8 | -0.26 | 1.66 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 3.5 | 3.9 | -0.42 | 1.66 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Under | 1.5 | 2.1 | -0.56 | 1.64 | Bet365 |
Nikola Jokić
Denver Nuggets
Best +4.33
PTS
27.7
REB
13.5
AST
9.0
PRA
50.2
3PM
2.5
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPra | Under | 54.5 | 50.2 | +4.33 | 1.95 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Under | 30.5 | 27.7 | +2.83 | 1.83 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Over | 1.5 | 2.5 | +0.95 | 1.55 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Under | 9.5 | 9.0 | +0.48 | 1.90 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 13.5 | 13.5 | +0.02 | 1.90 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 13.5 | 13.5 | -0.02 | 1.86 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Over | 9.5 | 9.0 | -0.48 | 1.86 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Under | 1.5 | 2.5 | -0.95 | 2.40 | Bet365 |
Julius Randle
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +3.91
PTS
23.4
REB
6.1
AST
4.2
PRA
33.7
3PM
2.2
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPoints | Over | 19.5 | 23.4 | +3.91 | 1.86 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPra | Over | 31.5 | 33.7 | +2.22 | 1.83 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Over | 1.5 | 2.2 | +0.70 | 2.40 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 6.5 | 6.1 | +0.41 | 2.10 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Under | 4.5 | 4.2 | +0.28 | 1.90 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerAssists | Over | 4.5 | 4.2 | -0.28 | 1.86 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 6.5 | 6.1 | -0.41 | 1.71 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Under | 1.5 | 2.2 | -0.70 | 1.55 | Bet365 |
Jamal Murray
Denver Nuggets
Best +3.05
PTS
27.3
REB
4.6
AST
6.4
PRA
38.3
3PM
5.6
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerThreesMade | Over | 2.5 | 5.6 | +3.05 | 1.58 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Over | 25.5 | 27.3 | +1.80 | 1.86 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPra | Over | 37.5 | 38.3 | +0.82 | 1.95 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 4.5 | 4.6 | +0.09 | 1.64 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Under | 6.5 | 6.4 | +0.07 | 1.74 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerAssists | Over | 6.5 | 6.4 | -0.07 | 2.05 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 4.5 | 4.6 | -0.09 | 2.22 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPra | Under | 37.5 | 38.3 | -0.82 | 1.83 | Bet365 |
Christian Braun
Denver Nuggets
Best +2.99
PTS
13.5
REB
4.5
AST
2.1
PRA
20.1
3PM
1.9
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPoints | Over | 10.5 | 13.5 | +2.99 | 1.80 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPra | Over | 17.5 | 20.1 | +2.55 | 1.80 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Under | 2.5 | 2.1 | +0.42 | 1.58 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Over | 1.5 | 1.9 | +0.41 | 2.70 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 4.5 | 4.5 | +0.02 | 1.90 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 4.5 | 4.5 | -0.02 | 1.86 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Under | 1.5 | 1.9 | -0.41 | 1.45 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Over | 2.5 | 2.1 | -0.42 | 2.35 | Bet365 |
Naz Reid
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +2.52
PTS
9.1
REB
3.9
AST
1.0
PRA
14.0
3PM
2.0
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPra | Under | 16.5 | 14.0 | +2.52 | 1.95 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 5.5 | 3.9 | +1.63 | 1.83 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Under | 10.5 | 9.1 | +1.39 | 1.83 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Under | 1.5 | 1.0 | +0.50 | 1.83 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Over | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.49 | 2.45 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerThreesMade | Under | 1.5 | 2.0 | -0.49 | 1.54 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Over | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.50 | 1.95 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Over | 10.5 | 9.1 | -1.39 | 1.95 | Bet365 |
Donte DiVincenzo
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +2.45
PTS
14.0
REB
3.1
AST
3.5
PRA
20.5
3PM
5.4
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPoints | Over | 11.5 | 14.0 | +2.45 | 2.00 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPra | Over | 18.5 | 20.5 | +2.01 | 1.89 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 3.5 | 3.1 | +0.39 | 2.00 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Under | 3.5 | 3.5 | +0.05 | 1.90 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Over | 3.5 | 3.5 | -0.05 | 1.86 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 3.5 | 3.1 | -0.39 | 1.80 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPra | Under | 18.5 | 20.5 | -2.01 | 1.89 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Under | 11.5 | 14.0 | -2.45 | 1.80 | Bet365 |
Cameron Johnson
Denver Nuggets
Best +2.41
PTS
13.9
REB
3.4
AST
2.6
PRA
19.8
3PM
3.3
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPoints | Over | 11.5 | 13.9 | +2.41 | 1.83 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPra | Over | 17.5 | 19.8 | +2.32 | 1.95 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Over | 1.5 | 3.3 | +1.79 | 1.83 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Over | 1.5 | 2.6 | +1.06 | 1.58 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 3.5 | 3.4 | +0.15 | 1.74 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 3.5 | 3.4 | -0.15 | 2.05 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Under | 1.5 | 2.6 | -1.06 | 2.35 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Under | 1.5 | 3.3 | -1.79 | 1.95 | Bet365 |
Anthony Edwards
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +2.15
PTS
26.4
REB
4.8
AST
4.1
PRA
35.4
3PM
4.3
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPra | Under | 37.5 | 35.4 | +2.15 | 1.83 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 6.5 | 4.8 | +1.66 | 1.71 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Over | 3.5 | 4.3 | +0.80 | 2.10 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Under | 4.5 | 4.1 | +0.36 | 1.89 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Under | 26.5 | 26.4 | +0.13 | 1.90 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPoints | Over | 26.5 | 26.4 | -0.13 | 1.86 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Over | 4.5 | 4.1 | -0.36 | 1.89 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Under | 3.5 | 4.3 | -0.80 | 1.71 | Bet365 |
Rudy Gobert
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +1.46
PTS
11.9
REB
11.5
AST
1.6
PRA
25.0
3PM
0.0
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPra | Over | 23.5 | 25.0 | +1.46 | 1.83 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Over | 10.5 | 11.9 | +1.40 | 1.83 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Over | 1.5 | 1.6 | +0.07 | 1.68 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 11.5 | 11.5 | +0.01 | 1.90 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 11.5 | 11.5 | -0.01 | 1.86 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerAssists | Under | 1.5 | 1.6 | -0.07 | 2.15 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Under | 10.5 | 11.9 | -1.40 | 1.95 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPra | Under | 23.5 | 25.0 | -1.46 | 1.95 | Bet365 |
Bruce Brown
Denver Nuggets
Best +1.43
PTS
8.9
REB
3.7
AST
2.0
PRA
14.7
3PM
1.0
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPoints | Over | 7.5 | 8.9 | +1.43 | 1.95 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPra | Over | 13.5 | 14.7 | +1.19 | 1.90 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPra | Under | 13.5 | 14.7 | -1.19 | 1.86 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Under | 7.5 | 8.9 | -1.43 | 1.83 | Bet365 |
Operator Diagnostics Snapshot state, ingestion depth, and edge-run footprint.
Mapping
Mapped
Books
2
Markets
36
Selections
547
Edges
122
Qualified
30