Game Dossier
Elite model-vs-market intelligence for a single matchup, with core market verdicts, ranked opportunities, player prop signals, and operator diagnostics.
Denver Nuggets
VS
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best core market
Total · Over
Top opportunity
DEN vs MIN · Total · Over
Qualified edges
39
Positive edges
69
Fair Home Win %
67.0%
Fair Spread (Home)
-5.9
Fair Total
240.4
Operator Provenance
232
222
36720
45
Core Market Verdict
Best model-vs-market disagreement across moneyline, spread, and total.
Total
Bet365
Edge
+18.36
Edge Score
18.36
Market Line
222.0
Model Line
240.4
Line Gap
+18.4
Spread
Bet365
Edge
+5.59
Edge Score
5.59
Market Line
-11.5
Model Line
-5.9
Line Gap
+5.6
Moneyline
Bet365
Edge
+0.13
Edge Score
12.57
Book Implied
20.4%
Model Prob
33.0%
Probability Gap
+12.6 pts
Best Bets in This Game
Ranked opportunity board split into core markets and player props.
Core Opportunities
1
DEN vs MIN
Total · Over
Line 222.0
Model 240.4
+18.36
2
DEN vs MIN
Total · Over
Line 222.0
Model 240.4
+18.36
3
DEN vs MIN
Moneyline · Away
Line —
Model 0.3
+0.13
Prop Opportunities
| # | Player | Market | Line | Model | Edge | Book | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Jaden McDaniels
PRA · Over
|
PlayerPra | 25.5 | 33.1 | +7.58 | Bet365 | 1.90 |
| 2 |
Jaden McDaniels
Points · Over
|
PlayerPoints | 16.5 | 23.8 | +7.26 | Bet365 | 1.95 |
| 3 |
Nikola Jokić
PRA · Under
|
PlayerPra | 54.5 | 48.2 | +6.26 | Bet365 | 1.89 |
Player Prop Intelligence
Projection snapshot plus each player’s highest-ranked market disagreements.
Jaden McDaniels
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +7.58
PTS
23.8
REB
6.3
AST
3.0
PRA
33.1
3PM
2.5
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPra | Over | 25.5 | 33.1 | +7.58 | 1.90 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Over | 16.5 | 23.8 | +7.26 | 1.95 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 4.5 | 6.3 | +1.83 | 1.74 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Over | 1.5 | 2.5 | +1.02 | 2.22 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Over | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.49 | 1.66 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerAssists | Under | 2.5 | 3.0 | -0.49 | 2.20 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Under | 1.5 | 2.5 | -1.02 | 1.64 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 4.5 | 6.3 | -1.83 | 2.05 | Bet365 |
Nikola Jokić
Denver Nuggets
Best +6.26
PTS
26.2
REB
13.4
AST
8.7
PRA
48.2
3PM
2.4
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPra | Under | 54.5 | 48.2 | +6.26 | 1.89 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Under | 30.5 | 26.2 | +4.33 | 1.86 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 14.5 | 13.4 | +1.10 | 1.80 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Over | 1.5 | 2.4 | +0.88 | 1.62 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Under | 9.5 | 8.7 | +0.83 | 1.90 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerAssists | Over | 9.5 | 8.7 | -0.83 | 1.86 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Under | 1.5 | 2.4 | -0.88 | 2.25 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 14.5 | 13.4 | -1.10 | 2.00 | Bet365 |
Julius Randle
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +4.96
PTS
27.1
REB
7.7
AST
4.6
PRA
39.5
3PM
2.5
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPra | Over | 34.5 | 39.5 | +4.96 | 1.89 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Over | 22.5 | 27.1 | +4.58 | 1.90 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 6.5 | 7.7 | +1.24 | 1.76 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Over | 1.5 | 2.5 | +1.03 | 2.40 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Over | 4.5 | 4.6 | +0.14 | 1.80 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerAssists | Under | 4.5 | 4.6 | -0.14 | 2.00 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Under | 1.5 | 2.5 | -1.03 | 1.55 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 6.5 | 7.7 | -1.24 | 2.02 | Bet365 |
Rudy Gobert
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +4.93
PTS
12.2
REB
13.3
AST
1.9
PRA
27.4
3PM
0.1
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPra | Over | 22.5 | 27.4 | +4.93 | 1.86 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 10.5 | 13.3 | +2.78 | 1.76 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Over | 9.5 | 12.2 | +2.74 | 1.76 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Over | 1.5 | 1.9 | +0.41 | 1.95 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Under | 1.5 | 1.9 | -0.41 | 1.83 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPoints | Under | 9.5 | 12.2 | -2.74 | 2.02 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 10.5 | 13.3 | -2.78 | 2.02 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPra | Under | 22.5 | 27.4 | -4.93 | 1.90 | Bet365 |
Ayo Dosunmu
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +4.60
PTS
24.7
REB
4.9
AST
4.6
PRA
34.1
3PM
3.0
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPra | Over | 29.5 | 34.1 | +4.60 | 1.89 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Over | 20.5 | 24.7 | +4.17 | 2.00 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Over | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.52 | 1.64 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 4.5 | 4.9 | +0.38 | 1.60 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Over | 4.5 | 4.6 | +0.05 | 1.80 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerAssists | Under | 4.5 | 4.6 | -0.05 | 2.00 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 4.5 | 4.9 | -0.38 | 2.30 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Under | 1.5 | 3.0 | -1.52 | 2.22 | Bet365 |
Mike Conley
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +3.33
PTS
4.6
REB
0.8
AST
1.9
PRA
7.2
3PM
1.5
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPra | Under | 10.5 | 7.2 | +3.33 | 1.89 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Under | 3.5 | 1.9 | +1.63 | 2.15 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Under | 5.5 | 4.6 | +0.95 | 1.89 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 1.5 | 0.8 | +0.75 | 1.95 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Under | 1.5 | 1.5 | +0.03 | 1.54 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerThreesMade | Over | 1.5 | 1.5 | -0.03 | 2.45 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 1.5 | 0.8 | -0.75 | 1.83 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Over | 5.5 | 4.6 | -0.95 | 1.89 | Bet365 |
Naz Reid
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +3.26
PTS
11.2
REB
4.8
AST
1.2
PRA
17.2
3PM
2.3
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPra | Under | 20.5 | 17.2 | +3.26 | 1.95 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Under | 13.5 | 11.2 | +2.29 | 1.86 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Over | 1.5 | 2.3 | +0.75 | 2.22 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 5.5 | 4.8 | +0.69 | 1.83 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Under | 1.5 | 1.2 | +0.28 | 2.25 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerAssists | Over | 1.5 | 1.2 | -0.28 | 1.62 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 5.5 | 4.8 | -0.69 | 1.95 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Under | 1.5 | 2.3 | -0.75 | 1.64 | Bet365 |
Bones Hyland
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +2.98
PTS
9.3
REB
2.1
AST
2.2
PRA
13.5
3PM
2.5
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPra | Under | 16.5 | 13.5 | +2.98 | 1.95 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Under | 3.5 | 2.2 | +1.35 | 1.95 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Under | 10.5 | 9.3 | +1.21 | 1.90 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 1.5 | 2.1 | +0.58 | 1.55 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Over | 2.5 | 2.5 | +0.02 | 2.30 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerThreesMade | Under | 2.5 | 2.5 | -0.02 | 1.60 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 1.5 | 2.1 | -0.58 | 2.40 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Over | 10.5 | 9.3 | -1.21 | 1.86 | Bet365 |
Jamal Murray
Denver Nuggets
Best +2.87
PTS
24.6
REB
4.5
AST
6.5
PRA
35.6
3PM
5.0
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPra | Under | 38.5 | 35.6 | +2.87 | 1.89 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Over | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.50 | 2.30 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Under | 25.5 | 24.6 | +0.87 | 1.90 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Over | 6.5 | 6.5 | +0.01 | 1.71 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 4.5 | 4.5 | +0.01 | 2.20 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 4.5 | 4.5 | -0.01 | 1.66 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Under | 6.5 | 6.5 | -0.01 | 2.10 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Over | 25.5 | 24.6 | -0.87 | 1.86 | Bet365 |
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Denver Nuggets
Best +2.79
PTS
9.9
REB
2.8
AST
1.0
PRA
13.7
3PM
2.9
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPra | Under | 16.5 | 13.7 | +2.79 | 1.86 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Under | 11.5 | 9.9 | +1.63 | 1.90 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Under | 1.5 | 1.0 | +0.49 | 1.66 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Over | 2.5 | 2.9 | +0.36 | 2.20 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 2.5 | 2.8 | +0.33 | 1.62 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 2.5 | 2.8 | -0.33 | 2.25 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Under | 2.5 | 2.9 | -0.36 | 1.66 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Over | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.49 | 2.20 | Bet365 |
Cameron Johnson
Denver Nuggets
Best +2.15
PTS
12.9
REB
3.3
AST
2.4
PRA
18.7
3PM
3.0
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPra | Over | 16.5 | 18.7 | +2.15 | 1.89 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Over | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.53 | 1.68 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Over | 11.5 | 12.9 | +1.44 | 1.86 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 3.5 | 3.3 | +0.17 | 1.60 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Under | 2.5 | 2.4 | +0.12 | 1.58 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerAssists | Over | 2.5 | 2.4 | -0.12 | 2.35 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 3.5 | 3.3 | -0.17 | 2.30 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPoints | Under | 11.5 | 12.9 | -1.44 | 1.90 | Bet365 |
Christian Braun
Denver Nuggets
Best +2.11
PTS
12.6
REB
4.6
AST
1.7
PRA
18.9
3PM
1.8
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerPoints | Over | 10.5 | 12.6 | +2.11 | 1.83 | Bet365 |
| PlayerPra | Over | 17.5 | 18.9 | +1.39 | 1.80 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Over | 0.5 | 1.8 | +1.29 | 1.45 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Under | 2.5 | 1.7 | +0.78 | 1.64 | Bet365 |
| PlayerRebounds | Over | 4.5 | 4.6 | +0.06 | 1.68 | Bet365 |
Show more markets
| Market | Side | Line | Model | Edge | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayerRebounds | Under | 4.5 | 4.6 | -0.06 | 2.15 | Bet365 |
| PlayerAssists | Over | 2.5 | 1.7 | -0.78 | 2.22 | Bet365 |
| PlayerThreesMade | Under | 0.5 | 1.8 | -1.29 | 2.70 | Bet365 |
Operator Diagnostics Snapshot state, ingestion depth, and edge-run footprint.
Mapping
Mapped
Books
2
Markets
36
Selections
599
Edges
138
Qualified
39