Game Dossier
Elite model-vs-market intelligence for a single matchup, with core market verdicts, ranked opportunities, player prop signals, and operator diagnostics.
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Mapping: Mapped Run: Completed Snapshot Apr 30 · 09:01 AM
Game 0042500166
Minnesota Timberwolves
VS
Denver Nuggets
Apr 29, 2026 · 05:00 PM
Target Center
Best core market
Total · Over
Top opportunity
MIN vs DEN · Total · Over
Qualified edges
34
Positive edges
64
Fair Home Win %
33.0%
Fair Spread (Home)
5.9
Fair Total
240.4
Operator Provenance
Snapshot 241
Edge Run 231
Projection Run 36733
Model Version 45
Core Market Verdict
Best model-vs-market disagreement across moneyline, spread, and total.
Total
Bet365
Over
Edge
+15.86
Edge Score
15.86
Market Line
224.5
Model Line
240.4
Line Gap
+15.9
Odds 1.90
Spread
Bet365
Away
Edge
+0.59
Edge Score
0.59
Market Line
6.5
Model Line
-5.9
Line Gap
-12.4
Odds 1.90
Moneyline
Bet365
Home
Edge
+0.01
Edge Score
0.72
Book Implied
32.3%
Model Prob
33.0%
Probability Gap
+0.7 pts
Odds 3.10
Best Bets in This Game
Ranked opportunity board split into core markets and player props.
Core Opportunities
1
MIN vs DEN
Total · Over
Line 224.5
Model 240.4
+15.86
2
MIN vs DEN
Total · Over
Line 225.5
Model 240.4
+14.86
3
MIN vs DEN
Total · Over
Line 225.5
Model 240.4
+14.86
Prop Opportunities
# Player Market Line Model Edge Book Odds
1
Ayo Dosunmu
Ayo Dosunmu
Points · Over
 PlayerPoints 19.5 28.1 +8.57 Bet365 2.00
2
Julius Randle
Julius Randle
PRA · Over
 PlayerPra 34.5 42.6 +8.10 Bet365 1.95
3
Jaden McDaniels
Jaden McDaniels
PRA · Over
 PlayerPra 24.5 32.4 +7.85 Bet365 1.86
Player Prop Intelligence
Projection snapshot plus each player’s highest-ranked market disagreements.
Ayo Dosunmu
Ayo Dosunmu
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +8.57
PTS 28.1
REB 4.1
AST 4.2
PRA 36.3
3PM 3.8
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 19.5 28.1 +8.57 2.00 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 28.5 36.3 +7.82 1.90 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 3.8 +1.25 2.45 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 4.1 +0.44 1.89 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 4.5 4.2 +0.31 1.86 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Over 4.5 4.2 -0.31 1.90 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 4.1 -0.44 1.89 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 2.5 3.8 -1.25 1.54 Bet365
Julius Randle
Julius Randle
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +8.10
PTS 29.7
REB 8.0
AST 4.9
PRA 42.6
3PM 2.9
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 34.5 42.6 +8.10 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 22.5 29.7 +7.20 1.89 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 6.5 8.0 +1.46 1.71 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.9 +1.38 2.22 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 4.5 4.9 +0.44 1.95 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 4.5 4.9 -0.44 1.83 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.9 -1.38 1.64 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 6.5 8.0 -1.46 2.10 Bet365
Jaden McDaniels
Jaden McDaniels
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +7.85
PTS 23.2
REB 6.4
AST 2.7
PRA 32.4
3PM 2.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 24.5 32.4 +7.85 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 18.5 23.2 +4.68 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 6.4 +1.93 1.74 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.1 +0.64 2.05 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 2.7 +0.24 1.95 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 2.7 -0.24 1.83 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.1 -0.64 1.74 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 6.4 -1.93 2.05 Bet365
Mike Conley
Mike Conley
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +4.91
PTS 10.1
REB 1.6
AST 3.7
PRA 15.4
3PM 2.8
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 10.5 15.4 +4.91 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 5.5 10.1 +4.59 1.89 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.8 +1.29 2.10 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 3.5 3.7 +0.21 1.71 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 1.5 1.6 +0.11 1.74 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 1.5 1.6 -0.11 2.05 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 3.5 3.7 -0.21 2.10 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.8 -1.29 1.71 Bet365
Nikola Jokić
Nikola Jokić
Denver Nuggets
Best +4.35
PTS 26.7
REB 13.1
AST 9.4
PRA 49.2
3PM 2.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Under 53.5 49.2 +4.35 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 29.5 26.7 +2.82 1.90 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.0 +0.54 1.90 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 13.5 13.1 +0.45 2.00 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 9.5 9.4 +0.08 2.15 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Over 9.5 9.4 -0.08 1.68 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 13.5 13.1 -0.45 1.80 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.0 -0.54 1.86 Bet365
Rudy Gobert
Rudy Gobert
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +4.34
PTS 11.3
REB 13.3
AST 2.3
PRA 26.8
3PM 0.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 22.5 26.8 +4.34 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 10.5 13.3 +2.81 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 9.5 11.3 +1.77 2.02 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 2.3 +0.76 1.71 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 2.3 -0.76 2.10 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Under 9.5 11.3 -1.77 1.76 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 10.5 13.3 -2.81 1.90 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 22.5 26.8 -4.34 1.83 Bet365
Cameron Johnson
Cameron Johnson
Denver Nuggets
Best +4.23
PTS 14.2
REB 3.6
AST 2.9
PRA 20.7
3PM 2.8
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 16.5 20.7 +4.23 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 11.5 14.2 +2.66 1.83 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 2.9 +1.44 1.52 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.8 +1.32 1.68 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 3.6 +0.13 2.30 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 3.6 -0.13 1.60 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.8 -1.32 2.15 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 2.9 -1.44 2.50 Bet365
Jamal Murray
Jamal Murray
Denver Nuggets
Best +3.98
PTS 24.3
REB 4.3
AST 5.9
PRA 34.5
3PM 4.7
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Under 38.5 34.5 +3.98 1.86 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 4.7 +2.21 1.55 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 26.5 24.3 +2.16 1.89 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 6.5 5.9 +0.63 2.02 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 4.3 +0.19 2.02 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 4.3 -0.19 1.76 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 6.5 5.9 -0.63 1.76 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 26.5 24.3 -2.16 1.89 Bet365
Bruce Brown
Bruce Brown
Denver Nuggets
Best +2.86
PTS 8.3
REB 3.7
AST 2.3
PRA 14.4
3PM 0.8
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 11.5 14.4 +2.86 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 6.5 8.3 +1.84 1.89 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 3.7 +1.24 1.66 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 2.3 +0.78 1.95 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 0.8 +0.34 1.89 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 0.8 -0.34 1.89 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 2.3 -0.78 1.83 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 3.7 -1.24 2.20 Bet365
Christian Braun
Christian Braun
Denver Nuggets
Best +2.01
PTS 12.5
REB 4.4
AST 2.0
PRA 18.9
3PM 1.7
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 10.5 12.5 +2.01 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 17.5 18.9 +1.35 1.89 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 1.7 +1.19 1.40 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 2.0 +0.55 1.68 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 4.4 +0.11 2.02 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 4.4 -0.11 1.76 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 2.0 -0.55 2.15 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 1.7 -1.19 2.90 Bet365
Naz Reid
Naz Reid
Minnesota Timberwolves
Best +1.36
PTS 13.9
REB 6.2
AST 1.6
PRA 21.7
3PM 2.8
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 12.5 13.9 +1.36 1.86 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.8 +1.25 1.71 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 6.5 6.2 +0.27 1.66 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 21.5 21.7 +0.20 1.89 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 1.6 +0.11 1.68 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 1.6 -0.11 2.15 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 21.5 21.7 -0.20 1.89 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 6.5 6.2 -0.27 2.20 Bet365
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Denver Nuggets
Best +0.89
PTS 9.2
REB 2.6
AST 0.8
PRA 12.6
3PM 2.4
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Under 13.5 12.6 +0.89 1.89 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 0.8 +0.32 1.44 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 9.5 9.2 +0.27 2.00 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 2.6 +0.06 2.20 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 2.5 2.4 +0.06 1.50 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 2.4 -0.06 2.55 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 2.6 -0.06 1.66 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 9.5 9.2 -0.27 1.80 Bet365
Operator Diagnostics Snapshot state, ingestion depth, and edge-run footprint.
Mapping
Mapped
Books
2
Markets
36
Selections
592
Edges
130
Qualified
34