Game Dossier
Elite model-vs-market intelligence for a single matchup, with core market verdicts, ranked opportunities, player prop signals, and operator diagnostics.
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Mapping: Mapped Run: Completed Snapshot Apr 21 · 09:02 AM
Game 0042500172
Los Angeles Lakers
VS
Houston Rockets
Apr 20, 2026 · 05:00 PM
Crypto.com Arena
Best core market
Total · Over
Top opportunity
LAL vs HOU · Total · Over
Qualified edges
30
Positive edges
73
Fair Home Win %
30.8%
Fair Spread (Home)
6.7
Fair Total
231.9
Operator Provenance
Snapshot 214
Edge Run 204
Projection Run 36701
Model Version 45
Core Market Verdict
Best model-vs-market disagreement across moneyline, spread, and total.
Total
Bet365
Over
Edge
+24.85
Edge Score
24.85
Market Line
207.0
Model Line
231.9
Line Gap
+24.9
Odds 1.90
Spread
Bet365
Home
Edge
+1.73
Edge Score
1.73
Market Line
5.0
Model Line
6.7
Line Gap
+1.7
Odds 1.90
Moneyline
Bet365
Away
Edge
+0.02
Edge Score
1.59
Book Implied
67.6%
Model Prob
69.2%
Probability Gap
+1.6 pts
Odds 1.48
Best Bets in This Game
Ranked opportunity board split into core markets and player props.
Core Opportunities
1
LAL vs HOU
Total · Over
Line 207.0
Model 231.9
+24.85
2
LAL vs HOU
Total · Over
Line 207.0
Model 231.9
+24.85
Prop Opportunities
# Player Market Line Model Edge Book Odds
1
Marcus Smart
Marcus Smart
PRA · Under
 PlayerPra 20.5 13.7 +6.79 Bet365 1.80
2
Deandre Ayton
Deandre Ayton
PRA · Over
 PlayerPra 22.5 28.1 +5.61 Bet365 1.86
3
Deandre Ayton
Deandre Ayton
Points · Over
 PlayerPoints 13.5 19.1 +5.60 Bet365 1.86
4
Jabari Smith Jr.
Jabari Smith Jr.
PRA · Over
 PlayerPra 23.5 28.6 +5.13 Bet365 1.89
Player Prop Intelligence
Projection snapshot plus each player’s highest-ranked market disagreements.
Marcus Smart
Marcus Smart
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +6.79
PTS 8.3
REB 1.9
AST 3.5
PRA 13.7
3PM 2.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Under 20.5 13.7 +6.79 1.80 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 12.5 8.3 +4.22 1.80 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 4.5 3.5 +0.99 2.05 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.1 +0.63 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 1.9 +0.58 2.02 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 1.9 -0.58 1.76 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.1 -0.63 1.83 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 4.5 3.5 -0.99 1.74 Bet365
Deandre Ayton
Deandre Ayton
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +5.61
PTS 19.1
REB 8.1
AST 0.9
PRA 28.1
3PM 0.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 22.5 28.1 +5.61 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 13.5 19.1 +5.60 1.86 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 0.9 +0.41 1.52 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 8.5 8.1 +0.40 1.74 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 8.5 8.1 -0.40 2.05 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 0.9 -0.41 2.50 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 13.5 19.1 -5.60 1.90 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 22.5 28.1 -5.61 1.90 Bet365
Jabari Smith Jr.
Jabari Smith Jr.
Houston Rockets
Best +5.13
PTS 19.3
REB 7.7
AST 1.7
PRA 28.6
3PM 5.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 23.5 28.6 +5.13 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 14.5 19.3 +4.76 1.83 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 5.1 +3.61 1.55 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 6.5 7.7 +1.16 2.00 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 1.7 +0.21 2.05 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 1.7 -0.21 1.74 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 6.5 7.7 -1.16 1.80 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 5.1 -3.61 2.40 Bet365
Rui Hachimura
Rui Hachimura
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +5.10
PTS 18.6
REB 4.9
AST 0.9
PRA 24.4
3PM 2.7
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 13.5 18.6 +5.10 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 19.5 24.4 +4.87 2.05 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 4.9 +1.39 2.00 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.7 +1.19 1.66 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 0.9 +0.38 1.43 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 0.9 -0.38 2.75 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.7 -1.19 2.20 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 4.9 -1.39 1.80 Bet365
Tari Eason
Tari Eason
Houston Rockets
Best +3.89
PTS 11.4
REB 5.7
AST 1.2
PRA 18.3
3PM 2.2
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 7.5 11.4 +3.89 1.76 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 14.5 18.3 +3.77 1.89 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 5.7 +1.20 1.68 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.2 +0.74 2.70 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 1.2 +0.68 1.42 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 1.2 -0.68 2.80 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.2 -0.74 1.45 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 5.7 -1.20 2.15 Bet365
Reed Sheppard
Reed Sheppard
Houston Rockets
Best +3.75
PTS 15.1
REB 2.6
AST 3.5
PRA 21.3
3PM 5.4
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 17.5 21.3 +3.75 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 11.5 15.1 +3.63 1.86 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 5.4 +2.92 1.76 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 2.6 +0.11 1.95 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 3.5 3.5 +0.01 2.22 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 3.5 3.5 -0.01 1.64 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 2.6 -0.11 1.83 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 2.5 5.4 -2.92 2.02 Bet365
Amen Thompson
Amen Thompson
Houston Rockets
Best +3.57
PTS 20.1
REB 6.5
AST 5.4
PRA 32.1
3PM 0.4
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 16.5 20.1 +3.57 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 30.5 32.1 +1.55 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 7.5 6.5 +0.96 1.74 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 4.5 5.4 +0.94 1.64 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 0.4 +0.15 1.26 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 0.4 -0.15 3.75 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 4.5 5.4 -0.94 2.22 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 7.5 6.5 -0.96 2.05 Bet365
Alperen Sengun
Alperen Sengun
Houston Rockets
Best +2.69
PTS 20.9
REB 8.7
AST 6.6
PRA 36.2
3PM 1.3
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 33.5 36.2 +2.69 1.90 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 18.5 20.9 +2.41 1.90 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 5.5 6.6 +1.06 1.68 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 1.3 +0.82 2.75 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 8.5 8.7 +0.22 2.05 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 8.5 8.7 -0.22 1.74 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 1.3 -0.82 1.43 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 5.5 6.6 -1.06 2.15 Bet365
Luke Kennard
Luke Kennard
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +2.44
PTS 12.6
REB 3.5
AST 4.0
PRA 20.1
3PM 1.9
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Under 22.5 20.1 +2.44 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 14.5 12.6 +1.92 1.89 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 2.5 1.9 +0.64 1.64 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 3.5 4.0 +0.53 1.71 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 3.5 +0.05 1.76 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 3.5 -0.05 2.02 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 3.5 4.0 -0.53 2.10 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 1.9 -0.64 2.22 Bet365
Josh Okogie
Josh Okogie
Houston Rockets
Best +2.14
PTS 5.6
REB 3.4
AST 2.1
PRA 11.1
3PM 1.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 3.5 5.6 +2.14 1.76 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 3.4 +0.87 1.58 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 10.5 11.1 +0.56 2.00 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 2.1 +0.55 2.50 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 1.0 +0.54 1.89 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 1.0 -0.54 1.89 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 2.1 -0.55 1.52 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 10.5 11.1 -0.56 1.80 Bet365
Jaxson Hayes
Jaxson Hayes
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +1.49
PTS 7.0
REB 2.7
AST 0.4
PRA 10.1
3PM 0.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 5.5 7.0 +1.49 1.90 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 2.7 +0.82 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 10.5 10.1 +0.39 1.83 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 0.4 +0.06 2.40 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 0.4 -0.06 1.55 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 10.5 10.1 -0.39 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 2.7 -0.82 1.90 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 5.5 7.0 -1.49 1.86 Bet365
LeBron James
LeBron James
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +1.30
PTS 24.5
REB 7.8
AST 10.3
PRA 42.6
3PM 1.6
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Over 6.5 7.8 +1.30 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 41.5 42.6 +1.13 1.86 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 9.5 10.3 +0.82 2.25 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 1.6 +0.12 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 24.5 24.5 +0.01 1.89 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Under 24.5 24.5 -0.01 1.89 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 1.6 -0.12 1.90 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 9.5 10.3 -0.82 1.62 Bet365
Operator Diagnostics Snapshot state, ingestion depth, and edge-run footprint.
Mapping
Mapped
Books
2
Markets
36
Selections
611
Edges
146
Qualified
30