Game Dossier
Elite model-vs-market intelligence for a single matchup, with core market verdicts, ranked opportunities, player prop signals, and operator diagnostics.
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Mapping: Mapped Run: Completed Snapshot Apr 24 · 09:32 AM
Game 0042500173
Houston Rockets
VS
Los Angeles Lakers
Apr 23, 2026 · 05:00 PM
Toyota Center
Best core market
Total · Over
Top opportunity
HOU vs LAL · Total · Over
Qualified edges
32
Positive edges
69
Fair Home Win %
70.3%
Fair Spread (Home)
-7.2
Fair Total
232.6
Operator Provenance
Snapshot 221
Edge Run 211
Projection Run 36708
Model Version 45
Core Market Verdict
Best model-vs-market disagreement across moneyline, spread, and total.
Total
Bet365
Over
Edge
+25.56
Edge Score
25.56
Market Line
207.0
Model Line
232.6
Line Gap
+25.6
Odds 1.90
Spread
Bet365
Home
Edge
+2.32
Edge Score
2.32
Market Line
-9.5
Model Line
-7.2
Line Gap
+2.3
Odds 1.90
Moneyline
Bet365
Away
Edge
+0.03
Edge Score
3.38
Book Implied
26.3%
Model Prob
29.7%
Probability Gap
+3.4 pts
Odds 3.80
Best Bets in This Game
Ranked opportunity board split into core markets and player props.
Core Opportunities
1
HOU vs LAL
Total · Over
Line 207.0
Model 232.6
+25.56
2
HOU vs LAL
Total · Over
Line 207.0
Model 232.6
+25.56
Prop Opportunities
# Player Market Line Model Edge Book Odds
1
Rui Hachimura
Rui Hachimura
PRA · Over
 PlayerPra 18.5 25.2 +6.70 Bet365 1.89
2
Kevin Durant
Kevin Durant
PRA · Over
 PlayerPra 34.5 39.7 +5.18 Bet365 1.89
3
Rui Hachimura
Rui Hachimura
Points · Over
 PlayerPoints 14.5 19.1 +4.60 Bet365 1.89
4
Kevin Durant
Kevin Durant
Points · Over
 PlayerPoints 23.5 27.3 +3.83 Bet365 1.83
Player Prop Intelligence
Projection snapshot plus each player’s highest-ranked market disagreements.
Rui Hachimura
Rui Hachimura
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +6.70
PTS 19.1
REB 5.0
AST 1.1
PRA 25.2
3PM 3.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 18.5 25.2 +6.70 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 14.5 19.1 +4.60 1.89 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 3.1 +1.58 1.74 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 5.0 +1.50 1.62 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 1.1 +0.60 1.42 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 1.1 -0.60 2.80 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 5.0 -1.50 2.25 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 3.1 -1.58 2.05 Bet365
Kevin Durant
Kevin Durant
Houston Rockets
Best +5.18
PTS 27.3
REB 5.8
AST 6.6
PRA 39.7
3PM 3.6
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 34.5 39.7 +5.18 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 23.5 27.3 +3.83 1.83 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 4.5 6.6 +2.07 1.66 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 3.6 +1.12 2.30 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 5.5 5.8 +0.28 2.05 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 5.5 5.8 -0.28 1.74 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 2.5 3.6 -1.12 1.60 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 4.5 6.6 -2.07 2.20 Bet365
Reed Sheppard
Reed Sheppard
Houston Rockets
Best +3.69
PTS 13.2
REB 2.2
AST 3.2
PRA 18.6
3PM 4.5
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 9.5 13.2 +3.69 1.74 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 15.5 18.6 +3.07 1.89 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 4.5 +1.99 2.40 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 3.2 +0.73 1.76 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 2.2 +0.35 1.74 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 2.2 -0.35 2.05 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 3.2 -0.73 2.02 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 2.5 4.5 -1.99 1.55 Bet365
Alperen Sengun
Alperen Sengun
Houston Rockets
Best +3.54
PTS 22.9
REB 9.5
AST 6.7
PRA 39.0
3PM 1.4
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 35.5 39.0 +3.54 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 20.5 22.9 +2.38 1.90 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 5.5 6.7 +1.18 1.74 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 8.5 9.5 +0.98 1.76 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 1.4 +0.91 2.25 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 1.4 -0.91 1.62 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 8.5 9.5 -0.98 2.02 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 5.5 6.7 -1.18 2.05 Bet365
Jabari Smith Jr.
Jabari Smith Jr.
Houston Rockets
Best +3.53
PTS 19.0
REB 6.6
AST 1.4
PRA 27.0
3PM 5.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 23.5 27.0 +3.53 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 15.5 19.0 +3.52 1.90 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 5.0 +2.53 2.15 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 6.5 6.6 +0.11 1.80 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 1.4 +0.10 1.89 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 1.4 -0.10 1.89 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 6.5 6.6 -0.11 2.00 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 2.5 5.0 -2.53 1.68 Bet365
Jaxson Hayes
Jaxson Hayes
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +3.36
PTS 8.9
REB 3.3
AST 0.5
PRA 12.7
3PM 0.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 5.5 8.9 +3.36 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 10.5 12.7 +2.15 1.89 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 3.3 +0.25 2.02 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 0.5 +0.04 1.55 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 0.5 -0.04 2.40 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 3.3 -0.25 1.76 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 10.5 12.7 -2.15 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 5.5 8.9 -3.36 1.95 Bet365
Deandre Ayton
Deandre Ayton
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +3.34
PTS 15.8
REB 6.5
AST 0.9
PRA 23.2
3PM 0.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 12.5 15.8 +3.34 1.89 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 8.5 6.5 +1.97 1.74 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 21.5 23.2 +1.74 1.80 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 0.9 +0.37 1.62 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 0.9 -0.37 2.25 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Under 21.5 23.2 -1.74 2.00 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 8.5 6.5 -1.97 2.05 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 12.5 15.8 -3.34 1.89 Bet365
Luke Kennard
Luke Kennard
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +2.69
PTS 15.8
REB 3.9
AST 4.4
PRA 24.2
3PM 2.3
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 21.5 24.2 +2.69 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 14.5 15.8 +1.33 1.90 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 3.5 4.4 +0.94 2.25 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 3.9 +0.42 1.74 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 2.5 2.3 +0.17 1.52 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 2.3 -0.17 2.50 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 3.9 -0.42 2.05 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 3.5 4.4 -0.94 1.62 Bet365
Amen Thompson
Amen Thompson
Houston Rockets
Best +2.42
PTS 19.9
REB 6.2
AST 6.0
PRA 32.1
3PM 0.3
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 17.5 19.9 +2.42 1.89 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 7.5 6.2 +1.28 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 31.5 32.1 +0.59 1.95 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 5.5 6.0 +0.45 1.76 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 0.3 +0.22 1.26 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 0.3 -0.22 3.75 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 5.5 6.0 -0.45 2.02 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 31.5 32.1 -0.59 1.83 Bet365
Tari Eason
Tari Eason
Houston Rockets
Best +1.69
PTS 11.2
REB 5.8
AST 1.2
PRA 18.2
3PM 2.2
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 9.5 11.2 +1.69 1.80 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 17.5 18.2 +0.67 1.90 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.2 +0.66 2.55 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 1.2 +0.31 1.47 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 5.5 5.8 +0.29 1.74 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 5.5 5.8 -0.29 2.05 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 1.2 -0.31 2.60 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.2 -0.66 1.50 Bet365
Marcus Smart
Marcus Smart
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +1.56
PTS 12.4
REB 2.2
AST 4.6
PRA 19.2
3PM 3.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 3.1 +1.56 1.55 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 20.5 19.2 +1.27 1.83 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 2.2 +0.27 1.83 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 4.5 4.6 +0.07 1.62 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 12.5 12.4 +0.07 1.83 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 4.5 4.6 -0.07 2.25 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 12.5 12.4 -0.07 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 2.2 -0.27 1.95 Bet365
Josh Okogie
Josh Okogie
Houston Rockets
Best +1.43
PTS 5.9
REB 3.2
AST 1.5
PRA 10.6
3PM 1.2
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 4.5 5.9 +1.43 1.90 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 9.5 10.6 +1.11 2.10 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 1.5 +0.97 1.41 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 3.2 +0.71 1.74 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 1.2 +0.65 1.76 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 1.2 -0.65 2.02 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 3.2 -0.71 2.05 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 1.5 -0.97 2.82 Bet365
Operator Diagnostics Snapshot state, ingestion depth, and edge-run footprint.
Mapping
Mapped
Books
2
Markets
37
Selections
590
Edges
138
Qualified
32