Game Dossier
Elite model-vs-market intelligence for a single matchup, with core market verdicts, ranked opportunities, player prop signals, and operator diagnostics.
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Mapping: Mapped Run: Completed Snapshot Apr 26 · 09:01 AM
Game 0042500174
Houston Rockets
VS
Los Angeles Lakers
Apr 25, 2026 · 05:00 PM
Toyota Center
Best core market
Total · Over
Top opportunity
HOU vs LAL · Total · Over
Qualified edges
35
Positive edges
54
Fair Home Win %
69.7%
Fair Spread (Home)
-7.0
Fair Total
232.3
Operator Provenance
Snapshot 229
Edge Run 219
Projection Run 36714
Model Version 45
Core Market Verdict
Best model-vs-market disagreement across moneyline, spread, and total.
Total
Bet365
Over
Edge
+25.29
Edge Score
25.29
Market Line
207.0
Model Line
232.3
Line Gap
+25.3
Odds 1.90
Spread
Bet365
Away
Edge
+2.45
Edge Score
2.45
Market Line
-4.5
Model Line
7.0
Line Gap
+11.5
Odds 1.90
Moneyline
Bet365
Home
Edge
+0.05
Edge Score
5.20
Book Implied
64.5%
Model Prob
69.7%
Probability Gap
+5.2 pts
Odds 1.55
Best Bets in This Game
Ranked opportunity board split into core markets and player props.
Core Opportunities
1
HOU vs LAL
Total · Over
Line 207.0
Model 232.3
+25.29
2
HOU vs LAL
Total · Over
Line 207.5
Model 232.3
+24.79
3
HOU vs LAL
Total · Over
Line 207.5
Model 232.3
+24.79
Prop Opportunities
# Player Market Line Model Edge Book Odds
1
LeBron James
LeBron James
PRA · Over
 PlayerPra 39.5 50.0 +10.53 Bet365 1.95
2
Alperen Sengun
Alperen Sengun
PRA · Over
 PlayerPra 35.5 43.4 +7.92 Bet365 1.90
3
LeBron James
LeBron James
Points · Over
 PlayerPoints 23.5 29.9 +6.38 Bet365 1.89
Player Prop Intelligence
Projection snapshot plus each player’s highest-ranked market disagreements.
LeBron James
LeBron James
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +10.53
PTS 29.9
REB 9.3
AST 10.9
PRA 50.0
3PM 3.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 39.5 50.0 +10.53 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 23.5 29.9 +6.38 1.89 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 7.5 10.9 +3.36 1.71 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 7.5 9.3 +1.79 2.05 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 3.1 +1.62 2.00 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 3.1 -1.62 1.80 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 7.5 9.3 -1.79 1.74 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 7.5 10.9 -3.36 2.10 Bet365
Alperen Sengun
Alperen Sengun
Houston Rockets
Best +7.92
PTS 25.1
REB 11.0
AST 7.4
PRA 43.4
3PM 1.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 35.5 43.4 +7.92 1.90 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 20.5 25.1 +4.58 2.00 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 8.5 11.0 +2.48 1.80 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 5.5 7.4 +1.86 1.90 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 1.1 +0.63 2.25 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 1.1 -0.63 1.62 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 5.5 7.4 -1.86 1.86 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 8.5 11.0 -2.48 2.00 Bet365
Luke Kennard
Luke Kennard
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +6.14
PTS 16.5
REB 4.7
AST 5.4
PRA 26.6
3PM 2.4
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 20.5 26.6 +6.14 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 12.5 16.5 +4.02 1.89 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 3.5 5.4 +1.90 2.30 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.4 +0.88 1.58 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 4.7 +0.22 2.22 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 4.7 -0.22 1.64 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.4 -0.88 2.35 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 3.5 5.4 -1.90 1.60 Bet365
Amen Thompson
Amen Thompson
Houston Rockets
Best +5.66
PTS 22.8
REB 7.1
AST 6.4
PRA 36.2
3PM 0.3
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 30.5 36.2 +5.66 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 17.5 22.8 +5.26 1.89 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 5.5 6.4 +0.85 1.83 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 7.5 7.1 +0.45 2.00 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 0.3 +0.20 1.25 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 0.3 -0.20 3.90 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 7.5 7.1 -0.45 1.80 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 5.5 6.4 -0.85 1.95 Bet365
Jabari Smith Jr.
Jabari Smith Jr.
Houston Rockets
Best +5.59
PTS 21.1
REB 7.4
AST 1.3
PRA 29.8
3PM 5.6
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 15.5 21.1 +5.59 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 24.5 29.8 +5.33 2.00 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 5.6 +3.13 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 6.5 7.4 +0.93 1.71 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 1.3 +0.19 1.64 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 1.3 -0.19 2.22 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 6.5 7.4 -0.93 2.10 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 2.5 5.6 -3.13 1.83 Bet365
Rui Hachimura
Rui Hachimura
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +5.57
PTS 19.2
REB 4.6
AST 1.3
PRA 25.1
3PM 3.4
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 19.5 25.1 +5.57 1.90 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 15.5 19.2 +3.72 2.00 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 3.4 +1.85 1.55 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 4.6 +1.06 1.64 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 1.3 +0.79 1.44 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 1.3 -0.79 2.72 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 4.6 -1.06 2.22 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 3.4 -1.85 2.40 Bet365
Deandre Ayton
Deandre Ayton
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +4.43
PTS 14.9
REB 6.6
AST 1.0
PRA 22.5
3PM 0.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 10.5 14.9 +4.43 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 19.5 22.5 +3.03 1.80 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 7.5 6.6 +0.91 1.89 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 1.0 +0.51 1.66 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 1.0 -0.51 2.20 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Over 7.5 6.6 -0.91 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 19.5 22.5 -3.03 2.00 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 10.5 14.9 -4.43 1.90 Bet365
Jaxson Hayes
Jaxson Hayes
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +3.81
PTS 9.3
REB 3.1
AST 0.6
PRA 13.0
3PM 0.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 5.5 9.3 +3.81 1.74 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 11.5 13.0 +1.48 1.83 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 3.1 +0.38 2.02 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 0.6 +0.05 1.62 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 0.6 -0.05 2.25 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 3.1 -0.38 1.76 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 11.5 13.0 -1.48 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 5.5 9.3 -3.81 2.05 Bet365
Marcus Smart
Marcus Smart
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +3.38
PTS 14.5
REB 2.6
AST 5.8
PRA 22.9
3PM 3.3
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 19.5 22.9 +3.38 1.90 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 11.5 14.5 +3.03 1.95 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 3.3 +1.84 1.68 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 4.5 5.8 +1.28 1.83 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 2.6 +0.07 1.76 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 2.6 -0.07 2.02 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 4.5 5.8 -1.28 1.95 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 3.3 -1.84 2.15 Bet365
Tari Eason
Tari Eason
Houston Rockets
Best +0.55
PTS 10.6
REB 5.8
AST 1.2
PRA 17.5
3PM 2.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.1 +0.55 2.72 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 1.2 +0.33 1.50 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 5.5 5.8 +0.25 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 10.5 10.6 +0.09 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 17.5 17.5 +0.01 1.95 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Under 17.5 17.5 -0.01 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 10.5 10.6 -0.09 1.83 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 5.5 5.8 -0.25 1.89 Bet365
Operator Diagnostics Snapshot state, ingestion depth, and edge-run footprint.
Mapping
Mapped
Books
2
Markets
36
Selections
533
Edges
108
Qualified
35