Game Dossier
Elite model-vs-market intelligence for a single matchup, with core market verdicts, ranked opportunities, player prop signals, and operator diagnostics.
Mapping: Mapped Run: Completed Snapshot Apr 29 · 10:06 AM
Game 0042500175
Los Angeles Lakers
VS
Houston Rockets
Apr 28, 2026 · 05:00 PM
Crypto.com Arena
Best core market
Total · Over
Top opportunity
LAL vs HOU · Total · Over
Qualified edges
35
Positive edges
63
Fair Home Win %
28.6%
Fair Spread (Home)
7.6
Fair Total
232.3
Operator Provenance
Snapshot 238
Edge Run 228
Projection Run 36725
Model Version 45
Core Market Verdict
Best model-vs-market disagreement across moneyline, spread, and total.
Total
Bet365
Over
Edge
+24.29
Edge Score
24.29
Market Line
208.0
Model Line
232.3
Line Gap
+24.3
Spread
Bet365
Home
Edge
+11.62
Edge Score
11.62
Market Line
-4.0
Model Line
7.6
Line Gap
+11.6
Moneyline
Bet365
Away
Edge
+0.31
Edge Score
31.39
Book Implied
40.0%
Model Prob
71.4%
Probability Gap
+31.4 pts
Best Bets in This Game
Ranked opportunity board split into core markets and player props.
Core Opportunities
1
LAL vs HOU
Total · Over
Line 208.0
Model 232.3
+24.29
2
LAL vs HOU
Total · Over
Line 208.0
Model 232.3
+24.29
3
LAL vs HOU
Spread · Home
Line -4.0
Model 7.6
+11.62
4
LAL vs HOU
Moneyline · Away
Line —
Model 0.7
+0.31
5
LAL vs HOU
Moneyline · Away
Line —
Model 0.7
+0.31
Prop Opportunities
# Player Market Line Model Edge Book Odds
1
LeBron James
LeBron James
PRA · Over
PlayerPra 39.5 47.0 +7.45 Bet365 1.89
Player Prop Intelligence
Projection snapshot plus each player’s highest-ranked market disagreements.
LeBron James
LeBron James
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +7.45
PTS 27.9
REB 8.6
AST 10.5
PRA 47.0
3PM 2.9
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 39.5 47.0 +7.45 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 23.5 27.9 +4.40 1.86 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 7.5 10.5 +2.99 1.74 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.9 +1.42 2.02 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 7.5 8.6 +1.06 2.05 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 7.5 8.6 -1.06 1.74 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.9 -1.42 1.76 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 7.5 10.5 -2.99 2.05 Bet365
Luke Kennard
Luke Kennard
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +6.87
PTS 16.3
REB 4.8
AST 5.2
PRA 26.4
3PM 2.4
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 19.5 26.4 +6.87 1.90 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 12.5 16.3 +3.83 1.86 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 5.2 +2.74 1.66 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 4.8 +1.30 1.76 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.4 +0.90 1.55 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.4 -0.90 2.40 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 4.8 -1.30 2.02 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 5.2 -2.74 2.20 Bet365
Rui Hachimura
Rui Hachimura
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +6.70
PTS 18.2
REB 4.7
AST 1.4
PRA 24.2
3PM 3.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 17.5 24.2 +6.70 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 12.5 18.2 +5.69 1.95 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 3.0 +1.54 1.68 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 4.7 +1.15 1.80 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 1.4 +0.14 1.47 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 1.4 -0.14 2.60 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 4.7 -1.15 2.00 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 3.0 -1.54 2.15 Bet365
Jaxson Hayes
Jaxson Hayes
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +4.66
PTS 10.2
REB 3.7
AST 0.6
PRA 14.4
3PM 0.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 5.5 10.2 +4.66 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 10.5 14.4 +3.90 2.00 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 3.7 +0.16 2.02 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 0.6 +0.08 1.83 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 0.6 -0.08 1.95 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 3.7 -0.16 1.76 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 10.5 14.4 -3.90 1.80 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 5.5 10.2 -4.66 1.95 Bet365
Amen Thompson
Amen Thompson
Houston Rockets
Best +4.56
PTS 23.1
REB 6.8
AST 6.0
PRA 35.9
3PM 0.2
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 18.5 23.1 +4.56 1.80 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 32.5 35.9 +3.41 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 7.5 6.8 +0.69 1.83 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 6.5 6.0 +0.46 1.64 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 0.2 +0.27 1.27 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 0.2 -0.27 3.60 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 6.5 6.0 -0.46 2.22 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 7.5 6.8 -0.69 1.95 Bet365
Reed Sheppard
Reed Sheppard
Houston Rockets
Best +3.85
PTS 14.4
REB 2.2
AST 4.1
PRA 20.7
3PM 5.5
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Under 24.5 20.7 +3.85 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 16.5 14.4 +2.09 1.89 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 3.5 5.5 +1.97 2.10 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 2.2 +1.35 1.64 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 4.5 4.1 +0.41 1.83 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Over 4.5 4.1 -0.41 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 2.2 -1.35 2.22 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 3.5 5.5 -1.97 1.71 Bet365
Jabari Smith Jr.
Jabari Smith Jr.
Houston Rockets
Best +2.95
PTS 19.2
REB 6.8
AST 1.3
PRA 27.2
3PM 5.5
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 5.5 +2.95 1.71 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 24.5 27.2 +2.68 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 17.5 19.2 +1.65 2.00 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 7.5 6.8 +0.73 1.66 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 1.3 +0.24 2.02 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 1.3 -0.24 1.76 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 7.5 6.8 -0.73 2.20 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 17.5 19.2 -1.65 1.80 Bet365
Marcus Smart
Marcus Smart
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +2.86
PTS 12.8
REB 2.5
AST 6.1
PRA 21.4
3PM 2.5
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 18.5 21.4 +2.86 1.86 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 4.5 6.1 +1.57 2.02 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 11.5 12.8 +1.34 1.90 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.5 +0.98 1.80 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 2.5 +0.05 2.00 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 2.5 -0.05 1.80 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.5 -0.98 2.00 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 11.5 12.8 -1.34 1.86 Bet365
Tari Eason
Tari Eason
Houston Rockets
Best +1.61
PTS 14.8
REB 7.6
AST 1.6
PRA 24.1
3PM 2.6
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 22.5 24.1 +1.61 2.02 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 13.5 14.8 +1.34 2.02 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.6 +1.12 1.80 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 1.6 +0.14 2.02 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 7.5 7.6 +0.13 2.15 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 7.5 7.6 -0.13 1.68 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 1.6 -0.14 1.76 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.6 -1.12 2.00 Bet365
Deandre Ayton
Deandre Ayton
Los Angeles Lakers
Best +1.29
PTS 13.7
REB 6.2
AST 0.8
PRA 20.8
3PM 0.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 7.5 6.2 +1.29 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 12.5 13.7 +1.21 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 21.5 20.8 +0.75 1.89 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 0.8 +0.33 1.62 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 0.8 -0.33 2.25 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 21.5 20.8 -0.75 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 12.5 13.7 -1.21 1.83 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 7.5 6.2 -1.29 1.83 Bet365
Josh Okogie
Josh Okogie
Houston Rockets
Best +1.21
PTS 3.3
REB 2.2
AST 0.8
PRA 6.3
3PM 0.7
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Under 7.5 6.3 +1.21 1.95 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 0.8 +0.29 1.55 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 2.2 +0.29 1.76 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 3.5 3.3 +0.21 1.90 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 0.7 +0.18 2.00 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 0.7 -0.18 1.80 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 3.5 3.3 -0.21 1.86 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 2.2 -0.29 2.02 Bet365
Alperen Sengun
Alperen Sengun
Houston Rockets
Best +1.04
PTS 23.2
REB 9.8
AST 5.6
PRA 38.5
3PM 0.9
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 37.5 38.5 +1.04 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 22.5 23.2 +0.67 1.90 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 0.9 +0.42 2.55 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 9.5 9.8 +0.25 2.02 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 5.5 5.6 +0.12 1.83 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 5.5 5.6 -0.12 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 9.5 9.8 -0.25 1.76 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 0.9 -0.42 1.50 Bet365
Operator Diagnostics Snapshot state, ingestion depth, and edge-run footprint.
Mapping
Mapped
Books
2
Markets
36
Selections
566
Edges
126
Qualified
35