Game Dossier
Elite model-vs-market intelligence for a single matchup, with core market verdicts, ranked opportunities, player prop signals, and operator diagnostics.
Mapping: Mapped Run: Completed Snapshot May 17 · 09:00 AM
Game 0042500207
Detroit Pistons
VS
Cleveland Cavaliers
May 16, 2026 · 05:00 PM
Little Caesars Arena
Best core market
Total · Over
Top opportunity
DET vs CLE · Total · Over
Qualified edges
37
Positive edges
66
Fair Home Win %
62.5%
Fair Spread (Home)
-4.3
Fair Total
235.6
Operator Provenance
Snapshot 250
Edge Run 240
Projection Run 36765
Model Version 45
Core Market Verdict
Best model-vs-market disagreement across moneyline, spread, and total.
Total
Bet365
Over
Edge
+29.64
Edge Score
29.64
Market Line
206.0
Model Line
235.6
Line Gap
+29.6
Spread
Bet365
Home
Edge
+0.24
Edge Score
0.24
Market Line
-4.5
Model Line
-4.3
Line Gap
+0.2
Moneyline
Bet365
Away
Edge
+-0.01
Edge Score
-0.97
Book Implied
38.5%
Model Prob
37.5%
Probability Gap
-1.0 pts
Best Bets in This Game
Ranked opportunity board split into core markets and player props.
Core Opportunities
1
DET vs CLE
Total · Over
Line 206.0
Model 235.6
+29.64
2
DET vs CLE
Total · Over
Line 206.0
Model 235.6
+29.64
Prop Opportunities
# Player Market Line Model Edge Book Odds
1
Tobias Harris
Tobias Harris
PRA · Over
PlayerPra 24.5 36.8 +12.34 Bet365 1.83
2
Jalen Duren
Jalen Duren
PRA · Over
PlayerPra 23.5 34.9 +11.36 Bet365 2.00
3
Tobias Harris
Tobias Harris
Points · Over
PlayerPoints 16.5 26.1 +9.63 Bet365 1.83
4
Ausar Thompson
Ausar Thompson
PRA · Over
PlayerPra 19.5 27.5 +8.04 Bet365 2.00
Player Prop Intelligence
Projection snapshot plus each player’s highest-ranked market disagreements.
Tobias Harris
Tobias Harris
Detroit Pistons
Best +12.34
PTS 26.1
REB 9.1
AST 1.6
PRA 36.8
3PM 3.7
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 24.5 36.8 +12.34 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 16.5 26.1 +9.63 1.83 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 5.5 9.1 +3.57 1.68 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 3.7 +2.19 2.30 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 1.6 +0.14 1.58 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 1.6 -0.14 2.35 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 3.7 -2.19 1.60 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 5.5 9.1 -3.57 2.15 Bet365
Jalen Duren
Jalen Duren
Detroit Pistons
Best +11.36
PTS 19.0
REB 12.4
AST 3.5
PRA 34.9
3PM 0.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 23.5 34.9 +11.36 2.00 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 11.5 19.0 +7.52 1.83 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 8.5 12.4 +3.88 1.74 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 3.5 +1.96 1.71 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 3.5 -1.96 2.10 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 8.5 12.4 -3.88 2.05 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 11.5 19.0 -7.52 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 23.5 34.9 -11.36 1.80 Bet365
Ausar Thompson
Ausar Thompson
Detroit Pistons
Best +8.04
PTS 12.8
REB 10.0
AST 4.8
PRA 27.5
3PM 0.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 19.5 27.5 +8.04 2.00 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 8.5 12.8 +4.25 1.83 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 6.5 10.0 +3.49 1.64 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 3.5 4.8 +1.30 2.25 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 3.5 4.8 -1.30 1.62 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 6.5 10.0 -3.49 2.22 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 8.5 12.8 -4.25 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 19.5 27.5 -8.04 1.80 Bet365
Evan Mobley
Evan Mobley
Cleveland Cavaliers
Best +6.43
PTS 21.1
REB 9.5
AST 3.4
PRA 33.9
3PM 1.5
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 27.5 33.9 +6.43 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 15.5 21.1 +5.55 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 8.5 9.5 +1.03 2.00 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 3.5 3.4 +0.15 1.86 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 1.5 +0.01 2.60 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 1.5 -0.01 1.47 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 3.5 3.4 -0.15 1.90 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 8.5 9.5 -1.03 1.80 Bet365
Cade Cunningham
Cade Cunningham
Detroit Pistons
Best +5.96
PTS 31.3
REB 6.1
AST 9.0
PRA 46.5
3PM 4.3
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 40.5 46.5 +5.96 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 26.5 31.3 +4.80 1.83 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 4.3 +1.83 2.22 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 5.5 6.1 +0.63 1.90 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 8.5 9.0 +0.53 1.83 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 8.5 9.0 -0.53 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 5.5 6.1 -0.63 1.86 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 2.5 4.3 -1.83 1.64 Bet365
Daniss Jenkins
Daniss Jenkins
Detroit Pistons
Best +5.70
PTS 7.2
REB 2.4
AST 3.2
PRA 12.8
3PM 1.6
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Under 18.5 12.8 +5.70 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 11.5 7.2 +4.31 2.00 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 2.4 +1.11 1.60 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 3.5 3.2 +0.28 1.95 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 1.6 +0.08 1.95 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 1.6 -0.08 1.83 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 3.5 3.2 -0.28 1.83 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 2.4 -1.11 2.30 Bet365
James Harden
James Harden
Cleveland Cavaliers
Best +5.21
PTS 23.7
REB 4.7
AST 6.0
PRA 34.4
3PM 4.6
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 18.5 23.7 +5.21 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 30.5 34.4 +3.85 1.90 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 4.6 +2.07 2.22 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 6.5 6.0 +0.52 1.76 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 4.7 +0.16 1.86 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 4.7 -0.16 1.90 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 6.5 6.0 -0.52 2.02 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 2.5 4.6 -2.07 1.64 Bet365
Jarrett Allen
Jarrett Allen
Cleveland Cavaliers
Best +3.64
PTS 14.9
REB 9.5
AST 0.8
PRA 25.1
3PM 0.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 21.5 25.1 +3.64 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 12.5 14.9 +2.36 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 7.5 9.5 +2.02 1.80 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 0.8 +0.26 1.43 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 0.8 -0.26 2.75 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 7.5 9.5 -2.02 2.00 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 12.5 14.9 -2.36 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 21.5 25.1 -3.64 1.83 Bet365
Dean Wade
Dean Wade
Cleveland Cavaliers
Best +3.48
PTS 6.0
REB 3.8
AST 0.7
PRA 10.4
3PM 1.7
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 2.5 6.0 +3.48 1.71 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 7.5 10.4 +2.93 2.05 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 1.7 +1.24 1.80 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 3.8 +0.26 2.20 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 0.7 +0.19 1.83 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 0.7 -0.19 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 3.8 -0.26 1.66 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 1.7 -1.24 2.00 Bet365
Donovan Mitchell
Donovan Mitchell
Cleveland Cavaliers
Best +2.47
PTS 28.2
REB 5.3
AST 3.4
PRA 37.0
3PM 4.4
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 34.5 37.0 +2.47 1.95 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 4.4 +1.85 1.66 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 26.5 28.2 +1.73 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 5.3 +0.82 2.05 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 3.5 3.4 +0.08 1.80 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Over 3.5 3.4 -0.08 2.00 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 5.3 -0.82 1.74 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 26.5 28.2 -1.73 1.83 Bet365
Dennis Schröder
Dennis Schröder
Cleveland Cavaliers
Best +2.12
PTS 7.6
REB 1.5
AST 2.4
PRA 11.5
3PM 0.9
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 5.5 7.6 +2.12 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 9.5 11.5 +2.01 1.89 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 0.9 +0.36 2.10 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 2.4 +0.08 1.66 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 1.5 1.5 +0.03 1.71 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Over 1.5 1.5 -0.03 2.10 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 2.4 -0.08 2.20 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 0.9 -0.36 1.71 Bet365
Sam Merrill
Sam Merrill
Cleveland Cavaliers
Best +0.65
PTS 7.0
REB 1.3
AST 1.4
PRA 9.7
3PM 2.2
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.2 +0.65 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 6.5 7.0 +0.48 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 1.5 1.3 +0.20 1.90 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 9.5 9.7 +0.15 2.00 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 1.4 +0.13 1.42 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 1.4 -0.13 2.80 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 9.5 9.7 -0.15 1.80 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 1.5 1.3 -0.20 1.86 Bet365
Operator Diagnostics Snapshot state, ingestion depth, and edge-run footprint.
Mapping
Mapped
Books
2
Markets
36
Selections
622
Edges
134
Qualified
37