Game Dossier
Elite model-vs-market intelligence for a single matchup, with core market verdicts, ranked opportunities, player prop signals, and operator diagnostics.
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Mapping: Mapped Run: Completed Snapshot May 30 · 10:12 AM
Game 0042500317
Oklahoma City Thunder
VS
San Antonio Spurs
May 29, 2026 · 05:00 PM
Paycom Center
Best core market
Total · Over
Top opportunity
OKC vs SAS · Total · Over
Qualified edges
42
Positive edges
70
Fair Home Win %
46.3%
Fair Spread (Home)
1.2
Fair Total
233.7
Operator Provenance
Snapshot 251
Edge Run 241
Projection Run 36767
Model Version 45
Core Market Verdict
Best model-vs-market disagreement across moneyline, spread, and total.
Total
Bet365
Over
Edge
+21.72
Edge Score
21.72
Market Line
212.0
Model Line
233.7
Line Gap
+21.7
Odds 1.90
Spread
Bet365
Home
Edge
+4.73
Edge Score
4.73
Market Line
-3.5
Model Line
1.2
Line Gap
+4.7
Odds 1.90
Moneyline
Bet365
Away
Edge
+0.10
Edge Score
10.20
Book Implied
43.5%
Model Prob
53.7%
Probability Gap
+10.2 pts
Odds 2.30
Best Bets in This Game
Ranked opportunity board split into core markets and player props.
Core Opportunities
1
OKC vs SAS
Total · Over
Line 212.0
Model 233.7
+21.72
2
OKC vs SAS
Total · Over
Line 212.0
Model 233.7
+21.72
3
OKC vs SAS
Moneyline · Away
Line —
Model 0.5
+0.10
Prop Opportunities
# Player Market Line Model Edge Book Odds
1
De'Aaron Fox
De'Aaron Fox
PRA · Over
 PlayerPra 23.5 36.5 +12.96 Bet365 1.83
2
De'Aaron Fox
De'Aaron Fox
Points · Over
 PlayerPoints 13.5 24.8 +11.31 Bet365 1.86
3
Chet Holmgren
Chet Holmgren
PRA · Over
 PlayerPra 23.5 31.6 +8.14 Bet365 2.00
Player Prop Intelligence
Projection snapshot plus each player’s highest-ranked market disagreements.
De'Aaron Fox
De'Aaron Fox
San Antonio Spurs
Best +12.96
PTS 24.8
REB 4.2
AST 7.5
PRA 36.5
3PM 4.2
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 23.5 36.5 +12.96 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 13.5 24.8 +11.31 1.86 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 4.2 +2.70 2.35 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 5.5 7.5 +1.96 1.76 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 4.2 +0.31 1.64 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 4.2 -0.31 2.22 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 5.5 7.5 -1.96 2.02 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 4.2 -2.70 1.58 Bet365
Chet Holmgren
Chet Holmgren
Oklahoma City Thunder
Best +8.14
PTS 20.5
REB 9.6
AST 1.6
PRA 31.6
3PM 3.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 23.5 31.6 +8.14 2.00 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 13.5 20.5 +6.98 1.83 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 3.0 +2.49 1.44 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 8.5 9.6 +1.11 2.05 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 1.5 1.6 +0.05 2.50 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 1.5 1.6 -0.05 1.52 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 8.5 9.6 -1.11 1.74 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 3.0 -2.49 2.72 Bet365
Victor Wembanyama
Victor Wembanyama
San Antonio Spurs
Best +7.48
PTS 33.3
REB 13.0
AST 3.7
PRA 50.0
3PM 3.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 42.5 50.0 +7.48 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 26.5 33.3 +6.75 1.90 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 3.1 +1.62 1.64 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 12.5 13.0 +0.54 1.90 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 3.5 3.7 +0.19 2.22 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 3.5 3.7 -0.19 1.64 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 12.5 13.0 -0.54 1.86 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 3.1 -1.62 2.22 Bet365
Luke Kornet
Luke Kornet
San Antonio Spurs
Best +6.53
PTS 5.8
REB 4.6
AST 1.6
PRA 12.0
3PM 0.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 5.5 12.0 +6.53 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 2.5 5.8 +3.33 2.15 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 4.6 +2.06 2.00 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 1.6 +1.14 2.02 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 1.6 -1.14 1.76 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 4.6 -2.06 1.80 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 2.5 5.8 -3.33 1.68 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 5.5 12.0 -6.53 1.83 Bet365
Keldon Johnson
Keldon Johnson
San Antonio Spurs
Best +5.18
PTS 10.2
REB 4.5
AST 1.0
PRA 15.7
3PM 1.4
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 10.5 15.7 +5.18 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 6.5 10.2 +3.66 1.83 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 4.5 +2.00 1.66 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 1.4 +0.90 1.60 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 1.0 +0.52 1.76 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 1.0 -0.52 2.02 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 1.4 -0.90 2.30 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 4.5 -2.00 2.20 Bet365
Luguentz Dort
Luguentz Dort
Oklahoma City Thunder
Best +5.05
PTS 9.6
REB 2.3
AST 1.3
PRA 13.2
3PM 3.9
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 4.5 9.6 +5.05 1.80 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 8.5 13.2 +4.73 2.00 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 0.5 1.3 +0.84 1.62 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 2.5 2.3 +0.16 1.76 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 2.5 2.3 -0.16 2.02 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 0.5 1.3 -0.84 2.25 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 8.5 13.2 -4.73 1.80 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 4.5 9.6 -5.05 2.00 Bet365
Alex Caruso
Alex Caruso
Oklahoma City Thunder
Best +4.82
PTS 7.6
REB 3.6
AST 1.5
PRA 12.7
3PM 2.2
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Under 17.5 12.7 +4.82 1.86 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 10.5 7.6 +2.92 1.95 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 1.5 +0.98 1.89 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 2.5 2.2 +0.33 1.52 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 3.6 +0.08 2.15 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 3.6 -0.08 1.68 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 2.2 -0.33 2.50 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 1.5 -0.98 1.89 Bet365
Cason Wallace
Cason Wallace
Oklahoma City Thunder
Best +4.78
PTS 7.1
REB 2.9
AST 1.8
PRA 11.7
3PM 2.1
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Under 16.5 11.7 +4.78 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPoints Under 9.5 7.1 +2.45 1.76 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 1.8 +0.69 1.89 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 2.9 +0.64 1.86 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.1 +0.62 1.95 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.1 -0.62 1.83 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 2.9 -0.64 1.90 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 1.8 -0.69 1.89 Bet365
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Oklahoma City Thunder
Best +4.58
PTS 35.1
REB 3.8
AST 7.6
PRA 46.5
3PM 2.6
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 30.5 35.1 +4.58 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 42.5 46.5 +4.03 1.90 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 1.5 2.6 +1.06 2.10 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 3.8 +0.32 1.76 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 7.5 7.6 +0.13 1.76 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 7.5 7.6 -0.13 2.02 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 3.8 -0.32 2.02 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 1.5 2.6 -1.06 1.71 Bet365
Devin Vassell
Devin Vassell
San Antonio Spurs
Best +3.87
PTS 15.2
REB 5.7
AST 2.5
PRA 23.4
3PM 3.7
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPra Over 19.5 23.4 +3.87 1.83 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 13.5 15.2 +1.71 2.02 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 2.5 3.7 +1.17 1.95 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 4.5 5.7 +1.16 1.95 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 2.5 0.00 2.22 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 2.5 0.00 1.64 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 4.5 5.7 -1.16 1.83 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 2.5 3.7 -1.17 1.83 Bet365
Isaiah Hartenstein
Isaiah Hartenstein
Oklahoma City Thunder
Best +2.44
PTS 10.2
REB 9.9
AST 2.3
PRA 22.4
3PM 0.0
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerRebounds Over 7.5 9.9 +2.44 1.76 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 20.5 22.4 +1.88 1.95 Bet365
PlayerPoints Over 8.5 10.2 +1.68 1.89 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 2.3 +0.24 2.22 Bet365
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 2.3 -0.24 1.64 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Under 8.5 10.2 -1.68 1.89 Bet365
PlayerPra Under 20.5 22.4 -1.88 1.83 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 7.5 9.9 -2.44 2.02 Bet365
Dylan Harper
Dylan Harper
San Antonio Spurs
Best +2.42
PTS 11.9
REB 3.3
AST 2.3
PRA 17.5
3PM 1.2
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerPoints Over 9.5 11.9 +2.42 1.76 Bet365
PlayerPra Over 16.5 17.5 +0.98 1.83 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Over 0.5 1.2 +0.67 1.50 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Under 3.5 3.3 +0.25 2.10 Bet365
PlayerAssists Under 2.5 2.3 +0.19 1.90 Bet365
Show more markets
Market Side Line Model Edge Odds Book
PlayerAssists Over 2.5 2.3 -0.19 1.86 Bet365
PlayerRebounds Over 3.5 3.3 -0.25 1.71 Bet365
PlayerThreesMade Under 0.5 1.2 -0.67 2.55 Bet365
Operator Diagnostics Snapshot state, ingestion depth, and edge-run footprint.
Mapping
Mapped
Books
2
Markets
35
Selections
654
Edges
142
Qualified
42