Chet Holmgren
Player Intelligence Terminal

Chet Holmgren

2025-26 • Regular Season
Oklahoma City Thunder • C-F • #7
Impact: 63.90 Tier: Core Risk: Low Starter: Yes Starter Confidence: 88.1% Availability: 100.0% As-Of (UTC): 2026-04-30 15:00:52Z Market Snapshot (UTC): 2026-04-27 16:00:59Z
01
Role
Chet Holmgren projects as an expected starter with confidence 0.88.
02
Load
Chet Holmgren is carrying 27.7 rolling minutes with 8.6% team minutes share.
03
Form
Points form is stable (L3: 17.7, L5: 19.8, L10: 17.1).
Back to Team Back to All Teams
Team Context OKC Role: ExpectedStarter
Volatility: 5.32 Minutes Share: 8.6% Usage Proxy: 4.38
Command Center

Performance Snapshot

Rolling production, efficiency, and current player load profile.
Core • Low
Minutes
27.7
Rolling minutes average
Points
17.1
Rolling points average
PRA
27.2
Points + rebounds + assists
TS%
71.0%
True shooting efficiency
Rebounds
8.7
Rolling rebounds average
Assists
1.4
Rolling assists average
3PM
1.7
Rolling 3-pointers made
3P%
43.0%
3-point conversion rate
Role & Risk

Context Profile

Current role quality, risk profile, and availability-adjusted player state.
Impact
63.9
Final impact model output
Risk
Low
Current risk classification
Role Trend
+4.4
Recent role trend minutes
Availability
100.0%
Current availability probability
Effective Avail
100.0%
Availability after model adjustment
Stability
80.8%
Rotation stability score
Context Note: No active injury label detected in the current player context.
Directional Read

Trend Terminal

Recent game-by-game trend across minutes, box production, PRA, threes, and efficiency.
Metric Minutes
Current —
Previous —
Delta —
Signal Balance

Context Chart

Blend of impact, availability, stability, minutes strength, and usage context.
Recent Form

Streak Intelligence

Last 3 / 5 / 10 view with directional streaks and form label by metric.
Metric L3 L5 L10 Up Down Form
Minutes 32.1 30.4 27.7 1 0 Hot
Points 17.7 19.8 17.1 1 0 Stable
Rebounds 9.0 9.6 8.7 1 0 Stable
Assists 1.7 2.0 1.4 2 0 Hot
PRA 28.3 31.4 27.2 1 0 Stable
3PM 1.7 2.0 1.7 1 0 Stable
Terminal Notes

Insights

Condensed player intelligence generated from role, load, trend, and latest results.
Role
Chet Holmgren projects as an expected starter with confidence 0.88.
Load
Chet Holmgren is carrying 27.7 rolling minutes with 8.6% team minutes share.
Form
Points form is stable (L3: 17.7, L5: 19.8, L10: 17.1).
Latest Game
Most recent game @ PHX: 34.4 min, 24.0 pts, 12.0 reb, 3.0 ast.
Market Surface

Player Edges

Projection, recommendation strength, and recent hit context for supported player props.
@ PHX
Away game
Over Strong
Strong Over leaning • Low consistency • A Grade
Over 16.5 Points
1.89
Projection 18.7
Line 16.5
Edge +2.23
Score 2.230
Overall
Hit in 3 of last 5 games
60%
Away
Hit in 2 of last 4 away games
50%
Average
Avg PTS: 19.8 vs line 16.5
+3.3
Over: 1.89 Under: —
04/27 24.0
04/25 10.0
04/22 19.0
04/19 16.0
04/08 30.0
@ PHX
Away game
Over Strong
Lean Over leaning • High consistency • B Grade
Over 1.5 3PM
2.15
Projection 2.4
Line 1.5
Edge +0.93
Score 0.930
Overall
Hit in 4 of last 5 games
80%
Away
Hit in 2 of last 4 away games
50%
Average
Avg 3PM: 2.0 vs line 1.5
+0.5
Over: 2.15 Under: —
04/27 2.0
04/25 0.0
04/22 3.0
04/19 2.0
04/08 3.0
Recent Output

Game Log Intelligence

Most recent games with starter context, result signal, opponent identity, and core stat line.
Date Opponent Result Start Min PTS REB AST PRA 3PM TS%
2026-04-27
@ PHX
W Yes 34.4 24.0 12.0 3.0 39.0 2.0 67.6%
2026-04-25
@ PHX
W Yes 29.3 10.0 7.0 2.0 19.0 0.0 83.3%
2026-04-22
vs PHX
W Yes 32.5 19.0 8.0 0.0 27.0 3.0 71.3%
2026-04-19
vs PHX
W Yes 24.8 16.0 7.0 0.0 23.0 2.0 68.0%
2026-04-08
@ LAC
W Yes 31.2 30.0 14.0 5.0 49.0 3.0 86.2%
2026-04-07
@ LAL
W Yes 22.0 15.0 10.0 0.0 25.0 1.0 66.3%
2026-04-05
vs UTA
W Yes 22.2 21.0 7.0 1.0 29.0 4.0 88.4%
2026-04-02
vs LAL
W Yes 17.7 7.0 4.0 0.0 11.0 1.0 50.0%
2026-03-30
vs DET
W Yes 29.8 13.0 9.0 1.0 23.0 1.0 59.1%
2026-03-29
vs NYK
W Yes 32.7 16.0 9.0 2.0 27.0 0.0 61.2%