Oklahoma
Team Intelligence Terminal

Oklahoma City Thunder

NetRtg +10.8 • #7 Competitive but volatile
Rotation impact, structural strength, trend direction, and snapshot-level team intelligence.
Season: 2025-26 • Regular Season Window: Last 10 Players As-Of (UTC): 2026-04-29 17:01:24Z Team Stats Pulled (UTC): 2026-04-14 15:00:35Z
State Score
72.6
Underlying quality is solid, but recent movement or availability creates uncertainty.
Team is operating with elite positive net strength.
Availability posture is stable.
Both offense and defense are trending in the wrong direction.
01
Positive net profile with above-average structural strength.
02
Offense is operating in the league’s upper tier.
03
Rotation usage is relatively stable across the latest snapshot window.
Rolling Window
Playoff Context

Team Playoff Outlook

Persisted simulation outlook for playoff qualification, seed range, urgency, and workload-management risk.

Seed Locked Rank: #1 West Record: 63-16 Remaining: 2
Postseason status is secure and the seed is effectively locked. Motivation pressure is softer, while rest and minutes-cap risk become more important.
Playoff Odds
100%
Top 6 Odds
100%
Play-In Odds
0%
Expected Seed
#1.0
Most likely: #1
Seed Range
Best #1 • Worst #1
Expected seed 1.0 • Most likely #1
Urgency 6%
Competitive pressure to win now.
Rest Risk 82%
Probability of softer availability management.
Minutes Cap Risk 79%
Active-but-managed workload suppression risk.
Rotation Volatility 28%
Likelihood of unstable role and minutes distribution.
Low pressure plus elevated workload-management risk suggests softer late-season motivation despite elite team quality.
Recent Games
8 - 2 SU 5 - 2 ATS 6 - 1 O/U
Recent form is outperforming market expectations, with a positive ATS profile and games trending Over.
Date
Opponent
W/L
Score
Margin
Spread
ATS
ATS Δ
Total
O/U
O/U Δ
Apr 27
@ Suns
W
131 - 122
+9
-10.5
No Cover
-1.5
214.5
Over
+38.5
Apr 25
@ Suns
W
121 - 109
+12
-9.0
Cover
+3.0
214.5
Over
+15.5
Apr 22
vs Suns
W
120 - 107
+13
-17.0
No Cover
-4.0
216.0
Over
+11.0
Apr 19
vs Suns
W
119 - 84
+35
Apr 12
vs Suns
L
103 - 135
-32
Apr 10
@ Nuggets
L
107 - 127
-20
Apr 08
@ Clippers
W
128 - 110
+18
-8.0
Cover
+10.0
227.5
Over
+10.5
Apr 07
@ Angeles Lakers
W
123 - 87
+36
-18.0
Cover
+18.0
222.5
Under
-12.5
Apr 05
vs Jazz
W
146 - 111
+35
-24.0
Cover
+11.0
239.0
Over
+18.0
Apr 02
vs Angeles Lakers
W
139 - 96
+43
-9.0
Cover
+34.0
231.5
Over
+3.5
Health & Rotation

Team Availability Surface

Impact-weighted injury pressure, key absences, and rotation stability for current team interpretation.

Rotation stable Impact At Risk: 42.6
Moderate impact loss detected — rotation stable but production is meaningfully affected.
Out
1
Unavailable contributors right now.
Doubtful
0
High-risk statuses likely to impact rotation.
Questionable
0
Watch-list players with near-term volatility.
Starter Out
0
Expected starters currently unavailable.
Core Out
0
Core structural losses inside the current team shape.
Pressure
Rotation stable
Summary read of current rotation stress.
Key Absences
Jalen Williams
Jalen Williams
High Impact Out Avail: 0.0%
Impact 42.6
Watch List
No current questionable watch-list players in this snapshot.
Team Availability Surface is derived from current player-level injury/availability flags and impact-weighted role context already used by the team query.
Strength Surface

Team Strength

Latest advanced team profile with league rank and snapshot-to-snapshot movement.

Per 100 possessions • Latest batch
OffRtg #7
120.7
-4.4
Points scored per 100 possessions.
DefRtg #5
109.9
+4.7
Points allowed per 100 possessions.
Pace #17
99.5
-0.1
Possessions per 48 minutes.
NetRtg #7
10.8
-9.1
Offense minus defense; higher is better.
Deltas compare the current pull against the previous pull for the same rolling window. Defensive rating uses inverted good/bad tone logic.
Rotation Intelligence

Rotation Structure

Core shape of the current player hierarchy with movement signals from the latest rolling snapshot.

Impact model
Core
5
Expected primary drivers
Rotation
0
Stable active contributors
Bench
7
Playable secondary unit
Fringe
6
Low-impact or limited depth
Structure has softened relative to the previous team snapshot.
Directional Read

Trend Terminal

Rolling team trajectory across offense, defense, pace, and overall net profile.

Active Metric NetRtg
Current
Previous
Delta
Snapshot Delta

What Changed

Direct comparison between the latest team snapshot and the previous one in the same rolling window.

NetRtg -9.1
OffRtg -4.4
DefRtg +4.7
Pace -0.1
Latest: 2026-04-14 15:00:35Z
Previous: 2026-04-09 22:12:41Z
Rotation Intelligence

Top Players by Impact

Ranked by starter expectation, confidence, minutes load, share concentration, and availability-adjusted impact.

Top 12 As of (UTC): 2026-04-29 17:01:24
Top Core
5
Expected primary drivers of team shape.
Secondary Unit
7
Bench players with rotational impact.
Availability Watch
1
Players carrying current status flags.
Player Tier Impact Risk Min Share Min PTS REB AST TS% 3P%
1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
ID: 1628983
Core
89.64 Elite
Low 10.28% 33.20 30.50 3.60 7.20 67.0% 41.0%
2
Chet Holmgren
Chet Holmgren
ID: 1631096
Core
60.56 Strong
Low 8.56% 27.66 17.10 8.70 1.40 71.0% 43.0%
3
Ajay Mitchell
Ajay Mitchell
ID: 1642349
Core
49.86 Active
Low 7.98% 25.78 11.50 3.40 3.70 52.0% 43.0%
4
Isaiah Hartenstein
Isaiah Hartenstein
ID: 1628392
Core
45.96 Active
Low 6.54% 21.14 8.30 8.80 2.00 71.0% 0.0%
5
Luguentz Dort
Luguentz Dort
ID: 1629652
Core
43.86 Active
Low 6.92% 22.37 7.90 2.10 1.20 62.0% 43.0%
6
Jalen Williams
Jalen Williams
ID: 1631114 Out Avail: 0.0%
Fringe
42.64 Active
High 7.82% 25.25 17.70 4.30 5.50 65.0% 39.0%
7
Cason Wallace
Cason Wallace
ID: 1641717
Bench
31.02 Watch
Low 6.77% 21.87 6.80 3.00 1.90 53.0% 36.0%
8
Isaiah Joe
Isaiah Joe
ID: 1630198
Bench
28.58 Watch
Low 4.74% 15.31 11.30 1.40 0.50 75.0% 48.0%
9
Alex Caruso
Alex Caruso
ID: 1627936
Bench
26.42 Watch
Low 5.62% 18.16 6.40 3.30 1.40 68.0% 44.0%
10
Branden Carlson
Branden Carlson
ID: 1642382
Bench
25.52 Watch
Low 4.47% 14.44 9.50 4.50 1.25 63.0% 37.0%
11
Payton Sandfort
Payton Sandfort
ID: 1642362
Bench
23.98 Risk
Low 4.90% 15.83 8.75 2.50 0.00 63.0% 41.0%
12
Jaylin Williams
Jaylin Williams
ID: 1631119
Bench
21.66 Risk
Low 4.61% 14.88 4.00 4.30 1.90 49.0% 33.0%
Impact Score blends starter expectation, confidence, minutes load, share concentration, stability, and availability-adjusted risk.