Avg Edge Value
2.32
Average actionable raw edge across markets
Optimization Intelligence
Market Diagnostics
Market-level divergence intelligence across actionable normalized edges. This page shows where the model is leaning away from consensus, where qualification pressure is concentrating, and which disagreements deserve the most forensic attention before execution.
Model Bias
Above Market
1.44
Probability Bias
Above Market
0.120
Qualified
6,391
Actionable market rows
Filters
Diagnostics Window
Avg Edge Score
2.54
Average actionable deterministic ranking score
Model-Line Delta
1.44
Average actionable model projection vs market line distance
Prob Delta
0.120
Average actionable model vs implied probability difference
Positive Edges
11737
Markets with positive actionable raw edge
Qualified %
54.21%
Threshold-qualified share of actionable markets
Strongest Divergence Family
Total
Average edge 7.742
Weakest Divergence Family
Spread
Average edge 4.997
Dominant Edge Bucket
0.10+
6,324 qualified rows concentrated here
Family Matrix
Market Type Matrix
| Market | Rows | Avg Edge | Avg Score | Line Δ | Prob Δ | Positive % | Qualified % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PlayerPoints
Strength 2.623
|
2,275 | 3.607 | 3.607 | 2.62 | — | 99.91% | 73.05% |
|
PlayerAssists
Strength 0.277
|
2,254 | 0.699 | 0.699 | 0.28 | — | 99.47% | 24.76% |
|
PlayerRebounds
Strength 0.297
|
2,249 | 0.918 | 0.918 | 0.30 | — | 99.60% | 35.79% |
|
PlayerPra
Strength 2.648
|
2,245 | 4.333 | 4.333 | 2.65 | — | 99.60% | 69.49% |
|
PlayerThreesMade
Strength 1.032
|
1,973 | 1.110 | 1.110 | 1.03 | — | 99.80% | 57.17% |
|
Spread
Strength 0.047
|
323 | 4.997 | 4.997 | 0.05 | — | 100.00% | 88.85% |
|
Total
Strength 5.559
|
255 | 7.742 | 7.742 | 5.56 | — | 99.61% | 81.96% |
|
Moneyline
Strength 0.120
|
215 | 0.120 | 11.984 | — | 0.120 | 93.02% | 84.65% |
Decision Brief
Research Guidance
Coverage
P@item.Priority
Most active market family
PlayerPoints is currently the heaviest family with 2275 actionable rows.
Threshold
P@item.Priority
Threshold pressure cluster
Qualification pressure is most concentrated in edge bucket 0.10+.
Divergence
P@item.Priority
Largest structural disagreement
Strongest model-market divergence currently sits in Bet Side: Away.
Qualification
P@item.Priority
Most qualified segment
The most threshold-qualified opportunities currently sit in Edge Bucket: 0.10+.
Bias
P@item.Priority
Model line bias
The model is leaning above market lines on average.
Probability
P@item.Priority
Probability bias
Model probabilities are running above market-implied probabilities overall.
Direction Split
Bet Side
Over
8,080 rows · Qualified 4,835
2.624
Under
3,171 rows · Qualified 1,087
1.432
Home
291 rows · Qualified 254
3.995
Away
247 rows · Qualified 215
1.933
Formula Split
Edge Calculation
LineDelta
11,574 rows · Positive 11,537
2.363
ProbabilityDelta
215 rows · Positive 200
11.984
Qualification Split
Threshold Status
Threshold Qualified
6,391 rows · Positive 6,391
54.21%
3.842
Below Threshold
5,398 rows · Positive 5,346
45.79%
0.523
Strength Split
Edge Value Buckets
<0.01
52 rows · Qualified 0
0.44%
0.039
0.01-0.03
138 rows · Qualified 9
1.17%
0.207
0.03-0.05
140 rows · Qualified 13
1.19%
0.386
0.05-0.10
331 rows · Qualified 45
2.81%
1.086
0.10+
11,128 rows · Qualified 6,324
94.39%
2.650
Structural Pressure
Strongest Divergence Segments
Bet Side
Away
1.933
Rows
247
Line Δ
-10.36
Prob Δ
0.132
Market Type
Total
7.742
Rows
255
Line Δ
5.56
Prob Δ
—
Bet Side
Home
3.995
Rows
291
Line Δ
5.42
Prob Δ
0.098
Market Type
PlayerPra
4.333
Rows
2,245
Line Δ
2.65
Prob Δ
—
Bet Side
Over
2.624
Rows
8,080
Line Δ
2.62
Prob Δ
—
Market Type
PlayerPoints
3.607
Rows
2,275
Line Δ
2.62
Prob Δ
—
Edge Bucket
0.10+
2.458
Rows
11,128
Line Δ
1.51
Prob Δ
0.188
Edge Calc
LineDelta
2.363
Rows
11,574
Line Δ
1.44
Prob Δ
—
Bet Side
Under
1.432
Rows
3,171
Line Δ
-1.43
Prob Δ
—
Market Type
PlayerThreesMade
1.110
Rows
1,973
Line Δ
1.03
Prob Δ
—
Execution Pressure
Strongest Qualified Segments
Edge Bucket
0.10+
6,324
Rows
11,128
Qualified %
56.83%
Avg Edge
2.458
Edge Calc
LineDelta
6,209
Rows
11,574
Qualified %
53.65%
Avg Edge
2.363
Bet Side
Over
4,835
Rows
8,080
Qualified %
59.84%
Avg Edge
2.624
Market Type
PlayerPoints
1,662
Rows
2,275
Qualified %
73.05%
Avg Edge
3.607
Market Type
PlayerPra
1,560
Rows
2,245
Qualified %
69.49%
Avg Edge
4.333
Market Type
PlayerThreesMade
1,128
Rows
1,973
Qualified %
57.17%
Avg Edge
1.110
Bet Side
Under
1,087
Rows
3,171
Qualified %
34.28%
Avg Edge
1.432
Market Type
PlayerRebounds
805
Rows
2,249
Qualified %
35.79%
Avg Edge
0.918
Market Type
PlayerAssists
558
Rows
2,254
Qualified %
24.76%
Avg Edge
0.699
Market Type
Spread
287
Rows
323
Qualified %
88.85%
Avg Edge
4.997
Forensic Review
Top Market Disagreement Rows
0
0042500207
Cleveland Cavaliers
vs
Detroit Pistons
Qualified
Edge
29.640
Score
29.640
Line
206.00
Model
235.64
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
29.640
Line: 206.00
Model: 235.64
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500107
Orlando Magic
vs
Detroit Pistons
Qualified
Edge
28.940
Score
28.940
Line
202.00
Model
230.94
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
28.940
Line: 202.00
Model: 230.94
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500117
Philadelphia 76ers
vs
Boston Celtics
Qualified
Edge
27.750
Score
27.750
Line
205.50
Model
233.25
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
27.750
Line: 205.50
Model: 233.25
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500176
Los Angeles Lakers
vs
Houston Rockets
Qualified
Edge
27.070
Score
27.070
Line
205.50
Model
232.57
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
27.070
Line: 205.50
Model: 232.57
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500206
Detroit Pistons
vs
Cleveland Cavaliers
Qualified
Edge
26.640
Score
26.640
Line
209.00
Model
235.64
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
26.640
Line: 209.00
Model: 235.64
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500206
Detroit Pistons
vs
Cleveland Cavaliers
Qualified
Edge
26.140
Score
26.140
Line
209.50
Model
235.64
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
26.140
Line: 209.50
Model: 235.64
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500137
Toronto Raptors
vs
Cleveland Cavaliers
Qualified
Edge
25.650
Score
25.650
Line
211.00
Model
236.65
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
25.650
Line: 211.00
Model: 236.65
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500206
Detroit Pistons
vs
Cleveland Cavaliers
Qualified
Edge
25.640
Score
25.640
Line
210.00
Model
235.64
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
25.640
Line: 210.00
Model: 235.64
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500173
Los Angeles Lakers
vs
Houston Rockets
Qualified
Edge
25.560
Score
25.560
Line
207.00
Model
232.56
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
25.560
Line: 207.00
Model: 232.56
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500174
Los Angeles Lakers
vs
Houston Rockets
Qualified
Edge
25.290
Score
25.290
Line
207.00
Model
232.29
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
25.290
Line: 207.00
Model: 232.29
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500172
Houston Rockets
vs
Los Angeles Lakers
Qualified
Edge
24.850
Score
24.850
Line
207.00
Model
231.85
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
24.850
Line: 207.00
Model: 231.85
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500174
Los Angeles Lakers
vs
Houston Rockets
Qualified
Edge
24.790
Score
24.790
Line
207.50
Model
232.29
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
24.790
Line: 207.50
Model: 232.29
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500175
Houston Rockets
vs
Los Angeles Lakers
Qualified
Edge
24.290
Score
24.290
Line
208.00
Model
232.29
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
24.290
Line: 208.00
Model: 232.29
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500171
Houston Rockets
vs
Los Angeles Lakers
Qualified
Edge
22.790
Score
22.790
Line
208.50
Model
231.29
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
22.790
Line: 208.50
Model: 231.29
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500317
San Antonio Spurs
vs
Oklahoma City Thunder
Qualified
Edge
21.720
Score
21.720
Line
212.00
Model
233.72
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
21.720
Line: 212.00
Model: 233.72
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500106
Detroit Pistons
vs
Orlando Magic
Qualified
Edge
21.660
Score
21.660
Line
210.00
Model
231.66
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
21.660
Line: 210.00
Model: 231.66
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500105
Orlando Magic
vs
Detroit Pistons
Qualified
Edge
20.640
Score
20.640
Line
211.50
Model
232.14
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
20.640
Line: 211.50
Model: 232.14
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500116
Boston Celtics
vs
Philadelphia 76ers
Qualified
Edge
19.530
Score
19.530
Line
213.00
Model
232.53
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
19.530
Line: 213.00
Model: 232.53
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500115
Philadelphia 76ers
vs
Boston Celtics
Qualified
Edge
19.360
Score
19.360
Line
213.00
Model
232.36
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
19.360
Line: 213.00
Model: 232.36
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500103
Detroit Pistons
vs
Orlando Magic
Qualified
Edge
19.010
Score
19.010
Line
213.50
Model
232.51
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
19.010
Line: 213.50
Model: 232.51
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526