Avg Edge Value
2.31
Average actionable raw edge across markets
Optimization Intelligence
Market Diagnostics
Market-level divergence intelligence across actionable normalized edges. This page shows where the model is leaning away from consensus, where qualification pressure is concentrating, and which disagreements deserve the most forensic attention before execution.
Model Bias
Above Market
1.38
Probability Bias
Above Market
0.121
Qualified
5,891
Actionable market rows
Filters
Diagnostics Window
Avg Edge Score
2.53
Average actionable deterministic ranking score
Model-Line Delta
1.38
Average actionable model projection vs market line distance
Prob Delta
0.121
Average actionable model vs implied probability difference
Positive Edges
10861
Markets with positive actionable raw edge
Qualified %
54.00%
Threshold-qualified share of actionable markets
Strongest Divergence Family
Total
Average edge 6.768
Weakest Divergence Family
Spread
Average edge 5.039
Dominant Edge Bucket
0.10+
5,828 qualified rows concentrated here
Family Matrix
Market Type Matrix
| Market | Rows | Avg Edge | Avg Score | Line Δ | Prob Δ | Positive % | Qualified % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PlayerPoints
Strength 2.586
|
2,101 | 3.610 | 3.610 | 2.59 | — | 99.90% | 72.25% |
|
PlayerAssists
Strength 0.268
|
2,081 | 0.702 | 0.702 | 0.27 | — | 99.47% | 24.84% |
|
PlayerRebounds
Strength 0.273
|
2,075 | 0.922 | 0.922 | 0.27 | — | 99.57% | 36.19% |
|
PlayerPra
Strength 2.580
|
2,071 | 4.339 | 4.339 | 2.58 | — | 99.57% | 69.00% |
|
PlayerThreesMade
Strength 1.013
|
1,831 | 1.097 | 1.097 | 1.01 | — | 99.84% | 56.36% |
|
Spread
Strength 0.019
|
309 | 5.039 | 5.039 | -0.02 | — | 100.00% | 89.64% |
|
Total
Strength 4.439
|
239 | 6.768 | 6.768 | 4.44 | — | 99.58% | 80.75% |
|
Moneyline
Strength 0.121
|
202 | 0.121 | 12.136 | — | 0.121 | 93.56% | 86.14% |
Decision Brief
Research Guidance
Coverage
P@item.Priority
Most active market family
PlayerPoints is currently the heaviest family with 2101 actionable rows.
Threshold
P@item.Priority
Threshold pressure cluster
Qualification pressure is most concentrated in edge bucket 0.10+.
Divergence
P@item.Priority
Largest structural disagreement
Strongest model-market divergence currently sits in Bet Side: Away.
Qualification
P@item.Priority
Most qualified segment
The most threshold-qualified opportunities currently sit in Edge Bucket: 0.10+.
Bias
P@item.Priority
Model line bias
The model is leaning above market lines on average.
Probability
P@item.Priority
Probability bias
Model probabilities are running above market-implied probabilities overall.
Direction Split
Bet Side
Over
7,391 rows · Qualified 4,388
2.597
Under
3,007 rows · Qualified 1,052
1.456
Home
278 rows · Qualified 245
4.050
Away
233 rows · Qualified 206
1.957
Formula Split
Edge Calculation
LineDelta
10,707 rows · Positive 10,672
2.347
ProbabilityDelta
202 rows · Positive 189
12.136
Qualification Split
Threshold Status
Threshold Qualified
5,891 rows · Positive 5,891
54.00%
3.823
Below Threshold
5,018 rows · Positive 4,970
46.00%
0.524
Strength Split
Edge Value Buckets
<0.01
46 rows · Qualified 0
0.42%
0.049
0.01-0.03
126 rows · Qualified 9
1.16%
0.217
0.03-0.05
136 rows · Qualified 13
1.25%
0.396
0.05-0.10
305 rows · Qualified 41
2.80%
1.065
0.10+
10,296 rows · Qualified 5,828
94.38%
2.639
Structural Pressure
Strongest Divergence Segments
Bet Side
Away
1.957
Rows
233
Line Δ
-10.81
Prob Δ
0.134
Bet Side
Home
4.050
Rows
278
Line Δ
5.46
Prob Δ
0.099
Market Type
Total
6.768
Rows
239
Line Δ
4.44
Prob Δ
—
Bet Side
Over
2.597
Rows
7,391
Line Δ
2.60
Prob Δ
—
Market Type
PlayerPoints
3.610
Rows
2,101
Line Δ
2.59
Prob Δ
—
Market Type
PlayerPra
4.339
Rows
2,071
Line Δ
2.58
Prob Δ
—
Edge Bucket
0.10+
2.440
Rows
10,296
Line Δ
1.45
Prob Δ
0.186
Bet Side
Under
1.456
Rows
3,007
Line Δ
-1.46
Prob Δ
—
Edge Calc
LineDelta
2.347
Rows
10,707
Line Δ
1.38
Prob Δ
—
Market Type
PlayerThreesMade
1.097
Rows
1,831
Line Δ
1.01
Prob Δ
—
Execution Pressure
Strongest Qualified Segments
Edge Bucket
0.10+
5,828
Rows
10,296
Qualified %
56.60%
Avg Edge
2.440
Edge Calc
LineDelta
5,717
Rows
10,707
Qualified %
53.39%
Avg Edge
2.347
Bet Side
Over
4,388
Rows
7,391
Qualified %
59.37%
Avg Edge
2.597
Market Type
PlayerPoints
1,518
Rows
2,101
Qualified %
72.25%
Avg Edge
3.610
Market Type
PlayerPra
1,429
Rows
2,071
Qualified %
69.00%
Avg Edge
4.339
Bet Side
Under
1,052
Rows
3,007
Qualified %
34.99%
Avg Edge
1.456
Market Type
PlayerThreesMade
1,032
Rows
1,831
Qualified %
56.36%
Avg Edge
1.097
Market Type
PlayerRebounds
751
Rows
2,075
Qualified %
36.19%
Avg Edge
0.922
Market Type
PlayerAssists
517
Rows
2,081
Qualified %
24.84%
Avg Edge
0.702
Market Type
Spread
277
Rows
309
Qualified %
89.64%
Avg Edge
5.039
Forensic Review
Top Market Disagreement Rows
0
0042500173
Los Angeles Lakers
vs
Houston Rockets
Qualified
Edge
25.560
Score
25.560
Line
207.00
Model
232.56
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
25.560
Line: 207.00
Model: 232.56
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500174
Los Angeles Lakers
vs
Houston Rockets
Qualified
Edge
25.290
Score
25.290
Line
207.00
Model
232.29
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
25.290
Line: 207.00
Model: 232.29
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500172
Houston Rockets
vs
Los Angeles Lakers
Qualified
Edge
24.850
Score
24.850
Line
207.00
Model
231.85
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
24.850
Line: 207.00
Model: 231.85
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500174
Los Angeles Lakers
vs
Houston Rockets
Qualified
Edge
24.790
Score
24.790
Line
207.50
Model
232.29
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
24.790
Line: 207.50
Model: 232.29
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500175
Houston Rockets
vs
Los Angeles Lakers
Qualified
Edge
24.290
Score
24.290
Line
208.00
Model
232.29
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
24.290
Line: 208.00
Model: 232.29
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500171
Houston Rockets
vs
Los Angeles Lakers
Qualified
Edge
22.790
Score
22.790
Line
208.50
Model
231.29
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
22.790
Line: 208.50
Model: 231.29
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500105
Orlando Magic
vs
Detroit Pistons
Qualified
Edge
20.640
Score
20.640
Line
211.50
Model
232.14
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
20.640
Line: 211.50
Model: 232.14
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500115
Philadelphia 76ers
vs
Boston Celtics
Qualified
Edge
19.360
Score
19.360
Line
213.00
Model
232.36
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
19.360
Line: 213.00
Model: 232.36
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500103
Detroit Pistons
vs
Orlando Magic
Qualified
Edge
19.010
Score
19.010
Line
213.50
Model
232.51
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
19.010
Line: 213.50
Model: 232.51
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500135
Toronto Raptors
vs
Cleveland Cavaliers
Qualified
Edge
18.810
Score
18.810
Line
218.00
Model
236.81
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
18.810
Line: 218.00
Model: 236.81
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500114
Boston Celtics
vs
Philadelphia 76ers
Qualified
Edge
18.560
Score
18.560
Line
213.50
Model
232.06
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
18.560
Line: 213.50
Model: 232.06
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500103
Detroit Pistons
vs
Orlando Magic
Qualified
Edge
18.510
Score
18.510
Line
214.00
Model
232.51
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
18.510
Line: 214.00
Model: 232.51
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500165
Minnesota Timberwolves
vs
Denver Nuggets
Qualified
Edge
18.360
Score
18.360
Line
222.00
Model
240.36
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
18.360
Line: 222.00
Model: 240.36
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500103
Detroit Pistons
vs
Orlando Magic
Qualified
Edge
18.010
Score
18.010
Line
214.50
Model
232.51
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
18.010
Line: 214.50
Model: 232.51
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500142
Phoenix Suns
vs
Oklahoma City Thunder
Qualified
Edge
17.540
Score
17.540
Line
213.50
Model
231.04
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
17.540
Line: 213.50
Model: 231.04
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500144
Oklahoma City Thunder
vs
Phoenix Suns
Qualified
Edge
17.540
Score
17.540
Line
213.50
Model
231.04
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
17.540
Line: 213.50
Model: 231.04
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500104
Detroit Pistons
vs
Orlando Magic
Qualified
Edge
17.510
Score
17.510
Line
215.00
Model
232.51
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
17.510
Line: 215.00
Model: 232.51
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500134
Cleveland Cavaliers
vs
Toronto Raptors
Qualified
Edge
17.310
Score
17.310
Line
219.50
Model
236.81
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
17.310
Line: 219.50
Model: 236.81
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500142
Phoenix Suns
vs
Oklahoma City Thunder
Qualified
Edge
17.040
Score
17.040
Line
214.00
Model
231.04
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
17.040
Line: 214.00
Model: 231.04
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526
0
0042500113
Boston Celtics
vs
Philadelphia 76ers
Qualified
Edge
16.870
Score
16.870
Line
215.50
Model
232.37
Prob Δ
—
Model vs Line Divergence
16.870
Line: 215.50
Model: 232.37
Probability Disagreement
—
Model Prob: —
Implied Prob: 0.526