NBA PLAYOFF CONTEXT

Playoff Picture

Current conference shape, postseason qualification pressure, and authoritative probability coverage from trusted fair-win inputs or daily playoff snapshots for the latest playable playoff context run.

As of Apr 09, 2026 • 5000 simulations • 2025-26
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Data Warnings
Stale data: the latest successful 2025-26 playoff run is from Apr 09, 2026 local date.
A newer playoff context run dated Apr 14, 2026 is SucceededDegraded; showing the latest successful run from Apr 09, 2026.
WIN PROBABILITY COVERAGE
Authoritative probability coverage 100%
100%
30
Remaining games
30
Authoritative
0
Fallback
30 of 30 remaining games used authoritative probabilities; 0 used fallback. all simulated games matched authoritative daily playoff probability snapshot rows.
WEST
Bracket context
If the season ended today • Apr 09, 2026 • 5000 simulations
EAST
PLAY-IN
7 Suns
44-36
8 Clippers
41-38
9 Trail Blazers
40-40
10 State Warriors
37-42
FIRST ROUND
1 City Thunder
63-16
100% Top 6 100%
2 Antonio Spurs
60-19
100% Top 6 100%
3 Nuggets
52-28
100% Top 6 100%
4 Angeles Lakers
50-29
100% Top 6 100%
5 Rockets
50-29
100% Top 6 100%
6 Timberwolves
47-33
100% Top 6 100%
FIRST ROUND
1 Pistons
58-22
100% Top 6 100%
2 Celtics
54-25
100% Top 6 100%
3 York Knicks
51-28
100% Top 6 100%
4 Cavaliers
51-29
100% Top 6 100%
5 Hawks
45-35
100% Top 6 93%
6 Raptors
44-35
100% Top 6 60%
PLAY-IN
7 Magic
44-36
8 76ers
43-36
9 Hornets
43-37
10 Heat
41-38
West Conference
Seed Team Record Playoff Top 6 Play-In Exp Seed Urgency Score Rest Score Cap Score Volatility Score
1
City Thunder
OKC
63-16
Current record
 100% 100% 0% 1.0 6 82 79 28
2
Antonio Spurs
SAS
60-19
Current record
 100% 100% 0% 2.0 8 77 75 27
3
Nuggets
DEN
52-28
Current record
 100% 100% 0% 3.3 11 76 73 30
4
Angeles Lakers
LAL
50-29
Current record
 100% 100% 0% 4.6 16 71 68 28
5
Rockets
HOU
50-29
Current record
 100% 100% 0% 4.1 25 65 62 25
6
Timberwolves
MIN
47-33
Current record
 100% 100% 0% 6.0 11 78 75 27
7
Suns
PHX
44-36
Current record
 100% 0% 100% 7.0 9 59 63 23
8
Clippers
LAC
41-38
Current record
 100% 0% 100% 8.1 8 58 62 25
9
Trail Blazers
POR
40-40
Current record
 100% 0% 100% 8.9 9 57 61 25
10
State Warriors
GSW
37-42
Current record
 100% 0% 100% 10.0 5 60 63 24
11
Orleans Pelicans
NOP
26-54
Current record
 0% 0% 0% 11.1 6 15 67 71
12
Grizzlies
MEM
25-55
Current record
 0% 0% 0% 12.2 25 15 52 67
13
Mavericks
DAL
25-55
Current record
 0% 0% 0% 12.7 16 15 58 69
14
Kings
SAC
21-59
Current record
 0% 0% 0% 14.4 9 15 64 68
15
Jazz
UTA
21-59
Current record
 0% 0% 0% 14.6 14 15 59 67
East Conference
Seed Team Record Playoff Top 6 Play-In Exp Seed Urgency Score Rest Score Cap Score Volatility Score
1
Pistons
DET
58-22
Current record
 100% 100% 0% 1.0 13 75 73 26
2
Celtics
BOS
54-25
Current record
 100% 100% 0% 2.0 21 71 68 24
3
York Knicks
NYK
51-28
Current record
 100% 100% 0% 3.4 32 58 56 21
4
Cavaliers
CLE
51-29
Current record
 100% 100% 0% 3.6 19 69 66 25
5
Hawks
ATL
45-35
Current record
 100% 93% 7% 5.3 34 58 55 26
6
Raptors
TOR
44-35
Current record
 100% 60% 40% 6.4 79 37 34 16
7
Magic
ORL
44-36
Current record
 100% 16% 84% 7.7 48 36 37 19
8
76ers
PHI
43-36
Current record
 100% 28% 72% 7.3 65 32 32 18
9
Hornets
CHA
43-37
Current record
 100% 3% 97% 8.4 31 42 44 25
10
Heat
MIA
41-38
Current record
 100% 0% 100% 10.0 23 48 51 22
11
Bucks
MIL
31-49
Current record
 0% 0% 0% 11.4 27 15 52 65
12
Bulls
CHI
30-49
Current record
 0% 0% 0% 11.6 25 15 51 65
13
Nets
BKN
20-59
Current record
 0% 0% 0% 13.0 26 15 53 65
14
Pacers
IND
18-61
Current record
 0% 0% 0% 14.2 31 15 50 67
15
Wizards
WAS
17-61
Current record
 0% 0% 0% 14.7 12 15 62 68